GW3 Top Three Captaincy Picks
@FantasyFootyFix will cover the stats below.
For the First time this season, we have some new candidates to choose from. Hot captaincy favourites from Tottenham, West Ham and Manchester United, who will be battling it out in the top 3 FPL captain choices ahead of Gameweek 3.
Welcome back to “The FPL Way Captaincy Picks” article where I will be discussing the Top 3 Fantasy Premier League captain options for the Gameweek ahead, as voted for by the FPL community captaincy poll on Twitter.
It was a disappointing Gameweek with Salah and Bruno not returning in GW2. As for our differential pick, Riyad Mahrez was the only candidate who returned, despite starting the game on the bench. Anyway, let’s move forward and take a look at that all-important captaincy decision for Gameweek 3.
Michail Antonio – West Ham United
£7.5m / 29.5% Owned
1. Michail Antonio sits in 3rd place for our differential pick.
Monday night football finished with a banger, West Ham beat 10 men Leicester City four goals to one. Antonio was the best player on the pitch, scoring 2 goals and 1 assist. When this man is fit, he’s an absolute beast. He showed so much hunger and determination. Antonio has 29 fantasy points in just two Gameweeks, which makes him the highest-scoring FPL asset. Despite sitting 3rd place, I think there be many managers turning their heads after that match up. West Ham turns their attention to a tasty home game against a winless Crystal Palace.
Son Heung-min – Tottenham
£10.0m / 24.4% Owned
2. Son Heung-min sits in 2nd place with 30% of the vote.
The South Korean didn’t get any attacking returns against Wolverhampton. Son had a fairly quiet game, only had 2 shots at goal with 1 inside the box and no big chances created. He was then later substituted for Harry Kane in the 72nd minute. We need to keep an eye on his fitness ahead of the weekend game, as in the previous game, he picked up a knock. If he’s fit and ready to go, we can’t ignore Son for the captaincy. Spurs will be facing Watford at home, which will certainly bring attention after Watford lost 2-0 to Brighton.
Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United
£12.1m / 57.8% Owned
3. Bruno Fernandes remains in the top 3 for a 3rd game running. He sits in 1st place receiving 40% of your vote.
The Portuguese didn’t continue his hot form in Gameweek 2, he had no attacking returns in a 1-1 draw against Southampton. It will be a game to forget for Bruno, only having 2 shots at goal. He did however create (1) big chance and created (2), which was more than any of United’s attacking players. Manchester United have a chance to redeem themselves by travelling to Wolverhampton, who have not won a game yet this season.
Below you will see a chart comparing the top 3 player’s for shots in the box:
Michail Antonio is way ahead for shots inside the box (8) which levels with Mo Salah (8). Bruno Fernandes has (4) shots inside and Son with (3).
Below you will see a chart comparing the top 3 player’s for Goals from inside the box:
Both Antonio and Bruno Fernandes level with the most goals inside the box (3) and Son with no goals from inside.
Below you will see a chart comparing the top 3 player’s for Expected goals:
Antonio hits the mark running with a huge (2.5) expected goals, the highest in the Premier League. Fernandes with (0.9) and Son (0.5) expected goals.
Below you will see a chart comparing the top 3 player’s for Expected FPL Involvements:
For Expected FPL involvements Antonio is once again winning the race with an expected (3.4), Fernandes (1.5) and Son with a low of (0.5).
Fix Comparison Matrix:
By analysing all the Charts comparisons, Antonio and Bruno are the most standout assets out of the top 3. Son doesn’t have the stats of the other 2, but that doesn’t mean he isn’t the right man for the captaincy. The South Korean has had 10 meetings with Watford, Winning 7, Drawing 3 and has never been on the losing side. Along with his returns, Son has 5 goals with 1 assist.
Who deserves a mention and Fixtures to Target:
Salah: Attacking stats very good of course. Upcoming fixture Chelsea (H). I think it will be a tight match, Chelsea has conceded (1) Big chance and yet to concede a goal. Liverpool has conceded (2) big chances and (0) goals conceded.
Vardy: Decent fixture for the Englishman, Leicester face Norwich (A). Vardy has scored only 1 goal in the last 2 Gameweeks, 5 shots in the box and 3 on target. Norwich is second for Big chances conceded (3) and has conceded (5) goals which are the worst in the League.
Ings: Villa face Brentford at home. Brentford has only conceded 1 big chance, that’s one less than Liverpool and two for Leicester. Ings has (2) shots on target and 2 goals scored. Not a captaincy option for me, as I think there are better options out there with better-attacking numbers.
Grealish: Probably the most nailed player in the City team as it stands. Scored his first goal last week. (0) Big chances created, (5) shots in the box with (2) on target. Man City playing a low confidence team in Arsenal. They have the worst Big chances conceded (5) in the League and an expected goal conceded (2.90).
Greenwood: The United man has (2) goals in two Gameweeks. I think he’s a great asset to own, I would be more interested in the captaincy if he played upfront. He’s clearly dangerous in the box as he’s scored both goals from inside. Manchester United are facing Wolverhampton (A), not an easy fixture, they have only conceded (2) goals in two and (7) shots in the box, which is low compared to the other teams. A decent Differential.
Wilson: The Newcastle talisman is second for expected goals (1.2), below Calvert-Lewin with (2.1). (1) goal in two matches. Should have scored last week as he missed a 1 on 1. The Magpies will play Southampton (H). The Saints will be fairly confident as they drew to Manchester United last week. A differential pick for me, I think there are better assets to choose from.
Calvert-Lewin: We’re possibly overlooking this guy, he’s having a good start to the season, as he did at the beginning of last. Tops the attacking stats for expected goals (2.1), scored (2) goals in two and has a high of 2.2 expected FPL involvements. I have been very impressed. Everton faces Brighton (A), not an easy fixture, Brighton carrying that good defensive form from last season. I don’t think there will be many chances for Calvert-Lewin, but I do think he could be a decent differential.
Underlying attacking stats in the last 2 matches (games, where he was out injured/rested, are not included):
Fixtures to Target:
The Top 3 most voted Opponents VS:
West Ham vs Crystal Palace
After losing their first two Premier League away games against West Ham, Crystal Palace have lost just two of their subsequent eight visits to the Hammers in the competition (Won 3 Draw 3).
West Ham has the Highest expected goals figure of any Premier League side after two games this season (5.3).
Antonio has been involved in 10 goals in his last nine Premier League appearances, (6 goals, 4 assists), including five in two games this term.
Wolves vs Manchester United
Manchester United have lost just one of their last eight Premier League meeting with Wolves (Won 4 Draw 3).
The Red Devils are unbeaten in their last 27 Premier League away games (Won 17 Draw 10), If they avoid defeat they will set. a new record for the longest unbeaten away run in English Football history.
This will be Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s 100th Premier League match in charge of Manchester United (Won 52, Draw 28 and Lost 19).
Tottenham Vs Watford
Spurs have lost only one of their last 16 league games against Watford (Won 9 Draw 6).
Tottenham have lost just one of their last 27 home League games against promoted sides (Won 24 Draw 2).
Watford has lost each of their last seven Premier League away games, failing to score on five occasions in that run.
I think it’s right to say that your Gameweek 3 captain won’t be as straightforward. There are many candidates to choose from, but when it comes to the top 3 voted by the community, Son, Bruno Fernandes and Antonio are the most popular.
I don’t own Son, although, if I did, I would truly be tempted to stick the armband on him. Bruno and Antonio I do own, which I’m wedged between the two. Antonio stands out compared to the attacking stats, but Bruno has proven to be a trustworthy premium asset.
The Choice is yours FPL Community.
Good luck for and all the best for Gameweek 3.