The Brentford Double Attack

The Brentford Double Attack

The Bee’s have a favourable run of fixtures coming up in the next few weeks. Bryan Mbeumo and Ivan Toney could be the frontrunners and should be heavily considered under our FPL lens.

Let’s first look at their opponents in the next 4 fixtures :

Credit to: @FPL_Banger on twitter for seeing this first. Give him a follow!

  • Leicester City : 7th worst expected goals against (xGA)
  • Burnley : 6th worst
  • Norwich : 2nd worst
  • Newcastle : Just dreadful
  • GW 15 & 16 is against Leeds and Watford
  • Leeds  : 3rd worst
  • Watford 4th worst

 

If you’re a manager that thrives on targeting fixtures and defences, the Brentford double up looks like the “cream of the crop” assets. Brentford have had a difficult run of games so I’m very intrigued to see how they perform against the so called “lesser teams”. Two home games in the three games should also play in their favour having the crowd behind them and playing the “12th man” role.

 

Looking at their shots heatmap, both have had (13) shots in the box with Toney having (18) and Mbeumo (19) total shots since the start of the season. Mbeumo is more likely to notch a double digit haul in my opinion. However, Toney as the designated penalty taker does give FPL managers a nice incentive to invest in him. Mbeumo does have an xG of (3.07) while Toney currently has an xG of (1.63). Brentford, under Thomas Frank, embrace their strengths with playing attacking football and I’d expect them to pick up a few victories during this run.

Looking at the attacking radar per 90 minutes graph, its clear that Mbeumo is more of a goal threat while Toney offers more assist potential. If you had to only pick one, I’d go for Mbeumo for the short-term and Toney for the long-term.

 

Brentford showed against the stronger sides that they’re not afraid to play. The 3-3 draw with Liverpool and the 2-0 victory against Arsenal also come to mind. I do wonder if Toney will now get higher up the pitch than Mbeumo against the “lesser teams” or if Mbeumo will carry on playing out of position. I really think the double up can reward new owners in the long run. A key stat about Mbeumo is that he has struck the woodwork (6) times this season. Unlucky or just bad finishing? At 5.5m it’s impossible to ignore him.

🚨 Romelu Lukaku and Timo Werner ruled out for Norwich 🚨

After last nights UEFA Champions League games, owners were devastated to find out that Romelu Lukaku twisted his ankle and is likely ruled out for a number of weeks. No official confirmation has been made yet by the club but it doesn’t look promising. Timo Werner suffered a muscle injury as well. This could open the door for Toney to enter our teams. Some managers will look to replace Lukaku with a premium forward while others may opt to spread the Lukaku funds in midfield for a Heung Min Son, Kevin De Bruyne or a Kai Havertz. This is where Toney can show value in being a budget forward and enabling a new strategy going forward.

 

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