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Who’s The Best Captain For Gameweek 38?

Who’s The Best Captain for Blank Game week 38?

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

We are coming to the last game of the season, & what a season it has been. As always I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 38 (GW38).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Captain Sensible

📌 Captain Differential

📌 Captain Huge Cahonas

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

Results of the Poll:

Captain Sensible:

Kane vs Salah

Leicester (A) & Crystal Palace (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 6 matches (comparing the two teams):

We start off with Captain Sensible, two very well known player’s who have been in remarkable form throughout the whole campaign. Harry Kane & Mohamed Salah has scored 22 goals each, both in the race for the Golden Boot. It’s going to be one big battle for the race & arguable they both deserve it.

Let’s start off with Harry Kane (£11.9m), Gameweek 37 matchup against Aston Villa ended with a 2-1 defeat. Sadly his team deserved to lose and they will need to regroup ahead of the final day. Kane will want to forget this game quickly, he only had 2 shot’s on goal which both were on target, other than that he had a very quiet game.

Moving on to the more positives factors, Tottenham is up against Leicester City & the good news is Harry Kane has scored 14 goals in 10 Premier League appearances against the Foxes, more than he has netted versus any other opponent in the competition.

Leicester have conceded 8 goals in the last 4 matches which put’s them 3rd worst in the league.

Kane picked up six goals in nine away matches since the turn of the year, averaging 5.7 points per game. The Englishmen also has 38 shots on the road at that time, while only Watkins has landed more (17-14).

Mo Salah (£12.8m) will be hoping that the power of the fan’s at Anfield will bring him to another golden boot. I wouldn’t disagree with you going for Salah & overall he’s probably the best captain for this Gameweek and I can imagine his effective ownership would be rather high. Liverpool took another step closer to a top-four finish with a 3-0 win over Burnley. Somehow Salah didn’t provide us with any returns during the game, he did get the most shots out of his teammates & his opponents with four attempts all being inside the box.

The Egyptian King has attacking returns in three straight home appearances and six of his last seven starts. Taking a look at his recent stats, everything but assist’s sits in the top 5 players in the league. He has had 6 big chances which put him 1st with (47) touches in the penalty box (2nd).

Salah was very bang-average a few weeks ago, but his creative stats have significantly improved. He now sits 2nd for xA (1.71, key passes (12) & big chances (3). In the last 4 matches Salah has 5 goals & 1 assist, that’s three more goals than Kane’s two.

As for shots inside the box, there’s no midfielder who has more than 17 shots in the box. Only Benteke with 21 who’s able to better that across all positions.

In the last 6 Gameweeks, Liverpool has scored 13 goals, more than any other side. They are also top for shots (116), shots on target (39) & big chances (23).

As you can see in the table above, Kane & Salah have very well & equal supportive shot’s inside the box, along with shots on target showing that they both have a strong eye for goal.

Palace has conceded 8 goals in the last 4 matches, & The Eagles are ranked 8th worst for xGC (5.13).

As you can see in the table above, Kane & Salah have very well & equal supportive shot’s inside the box, along with shots on target showing that they both have a strong eye for goal.

Captain Differential:

Mane

Crystal Palace (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 6 matches:

Mane (£11.7m) has become very consistent, he’s scored a goal in every single match against Crystal Palace. In the reserve fixture, he was on a goal and assist, then subbed off after 57 minutes.

Despite a poor campaign he has sharply improved his form, the Senegalese has assisted back to back games and is amongst the top six players for expected goal involvement which over the last six matches, suggest he has an attacking return in his locker against the suffering Palace defence.

Mane has very similar shots in the box to Salah & despite shooting at almost half the frequency, he has managed just one fewer big chance. Mane also has two big chances to Salah’s one, showing he’s been more clinical with the opportunity to score.

Palace is the third-worst side for GC (goal conceded) over the season. The Eagles have been a team to target the majority of the season. Liverpool finally gets their opportunity to face the home crowd, & they need a big win to be certain of a top-four finish.

Mane’s numbers have been producing very nicely, I believe he’s one of the best differential Captain picks this week.

Captain Huge Cahonas:

Antonio vs Bamford

Sheffield United (A) vs WBA (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 6 matches (comparing the two teams):

Antonio (£6.6m) scored a late winner in West Ham’s 3-1 win against West Brom. Antonio is getting a step closer to closing in on Di Canio’s Premier League goal record for the Hammers. Not bad for a player who started as a right-back & converted to a striker. His record at right-back wasn’t great, but as a centre forward, he’s picked up a goal and an assist at home to Southampton last season.

The forward has scored three goals in his last four games, Antonio has an appealing fixture this week playing Southampton. They have looked weak defensively &
have nothing to play for.

Antonio leads the league with xG (expected goals) over the last six & games and is second for xGI in that time. This will be his fifth attacking return in six matches & I’m sure he’ll be ready to face the fans at the London stadium.

West Ham has scored eight goals in the six Gameweeks & only Newcastle, Leicester (both 17), & Liverpool (23) have created more big chances than the Hammers (16).

Southampton has now conceded nine goals over the last six Gameweeks, keeping no clean sheets.

Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) got himself a double-figure return against Southampton in the midweek match. He’s now averaging 4.3 points per game week in the last 6 matches. The Englishman has recorded 5 big chances & is only ranked behind Kane, Adams (each 6) & Wood (7) amongst forwards.

None of his teammates can better his 11 shots in the box or his shots on target, he is now the most transferred in player this week.

Leeds have scored 10 goals over the last 6 Gameweeks & only Man City, Leicester (both 11), Newcastle, Spurs (both 12) & Liverpool (13) have found the back of the net more.

West Brom has conceded 14 goals over the last 6 Gameweeks; the most in the league. No side has allowed opponents more shots on target than the Baggies (50).

My Conclusion:

Well, there you have it FPL Managers, all five worthy candidates for the armband. Each has their reasons for selecting them as your captain. Salah & Kane for a sensible pick, a differential pick with Mane, & if you got huge cahonas then you could well go for Antonio or Bamford.

Who’s Winning the Armband? It has to go to Salah, but as I said above, there are lots of options to choose from. I am currently sat at 224k rank and wanting a nice boost in this final Gameweek. I’m torn between going with the differential pick or a pick that requires huge cahonas. I’ve not quite made up my mind yet but you’ll find out tomorrow afternoon.

Thank you for all your support this season, writing has been an experience for sure. I’m looking forward to next season with even bigger & better content.

Good Luck Everyone!

Who’s Winning The Armband:

1️⃣ Salah

2️⃣ Kane

3️⃣ Mane

4️⃣ Antonio

5️⃣ Bamford

Who’s The Best Captain For Blank Gameweek 36?

Who’s The Best Captain for Blank Gameweek 36?

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 36 (BGW36).

📌 TGW35 Captaincy Results

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Premium Options & Team Comparisons

📌 My Conclusion

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

DGW35 Captaincy Results:

As it stands with all five players left to play, all my Captaincy picks has returned. Which is very nice to have a little brag about.

Start off with my Captain Mason Greenwood, still one more game to play from his Triple Gameweek, he provided us with a nice 18pts & 4 BPS (Bonus Points), Bruno Fernandes got 10pts with a goal & 3 BPS. He didn’t play against Leicester as he was rested for the Liverpool game for Thursday night. Calvert-Lewin scored the only goal & 1 BPS, Iheanacho 1 goal but dropped points after receiving a yellow card, & Mo Salah providing only an assist with one more game left to play, he’s given his owners 6pts so far. Here is how last weeks captains are doing as of the time of writing:

1️⃣ Bruno Fernandes: 10pts

2️⃣ Mo Salah: 6pts

3️⃣ Mason Greenwood: 18pts

4️⃣ Iheanacho: 7pts

5️⃣ Dominic Calvert-Lewin: 9pts

Results of the Poll:

Who will be your captain? I have picked out 3 worthy candidates for the Armband, in the lead, we have the Egyptian King Mo Salah (48%). With tight voting for 2nd place is Harry Kane (22%) & Dominic Calvert-Lewin in 3rd (20%). We have a Blank Gameweek, the teams who will not be playing are Manchester United, Leicester City, Chelsea & Arsenal.

Premium Options & Team Comparisons:

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m)

VS Sheffield United (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 4 matches (comparing the 2 teams against each other):

First up in line is the young talented Englishman Dominic Calvert-Lewin, as we said in last week’s article, we fancied him to get returns against the Hammers, & he didn’t disappoint. He scored the only goal of the game as Everton moved to within five points of West Ham with the victory.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has now returned 19 points in the last three Gameweeks. The next match is a home game against the relegated Sheffield United, who lost 2-0 to Crystal Palace.

In the previous fixture where Everton travelled to the Blades; they won 1-0. Sheffield United is 3rd worst for xG conceded (7.89 & 4th worst for big chances conceded (10), Calvert-Lewin is joint 1st for Headed Attempts (5) in his last 3 matches. Sheffield United have conceded 10 headed attempts in this period, the 5th most in the league.

In the last 4 matches, Calvert-Lewin has far more big chances total (5), with Sigurdsson (1) & Richarlison (0).

As you know my favourite go-to attacking stat is the shots conversions. Richarlison is leading the two candidates for shots inside the box (9) & joint 1st with DCL with (5) shots on target. Despite the Brazilian’s impressive shooting rate, he hasn’t been very clinical, as he hasn’t scored a single goal in the last 4.

Sigurdsson has impressive chances created which is one more than Calvert-Lewin’s (6), & also nearing xGI (2.06 – 2.61). The Icelandic has 2 goals which also equals the Englishmen, but despite the equal goals, Calvert-Lewin clearly gets the biggest chances total, proving to be in the right places, as he is the target man.

Sigurdsson & Richarlison aren’t bad players for differential purposes, & they are playing a team who sit bottom of the table & nothing to play for. If your looking for a differential then maybe these two boys could be the go-to men.

To finalise this piece, Dominic Calvert-Lewin would be a great choice to stick the armband on. As I said before, Everton play a poor defensive team this season, their league is over, & The Toffee’s will want to push hard for the European spot. The Englishmen looks to be back in form, 2 goals in two, he is the talisman & I can see some attacking returns.

Mohammed Salah (£12.7m)

VS West Brom (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 4 matches (comparing the 2 teams against each other):

The Egyptian king is also back on our captaincy picks, as predicted I did suggest that there could be attacking returns against Southampton. Salah returned an assist with Liverpool winning the game comfortably by two goals to nil. With 3 points in the bag that see’s them rise to sixth in the Premier League, six points behind Leicester in fourth, who have played a game more.

Mo Salah in the last 5 game weeks has returned a decent 31 points. The next matchup is against West Brom away.

The most standout for The Baggies is their goals conceded, they have conceded 9 goals in the last 4 matches which are the worst in the league. They have kept no clean sheets, & as a high xG (7.27) which is the 4th worst in the league, looking at these stats a clean sheet is very much likely, without doubt, a fixture defiantly worth thinking about.

Salah & Mane are the joint scorers in the last 4 with 2 goals apiece, we are starting to see a bit of form from the Senegalese. In the last 6 matches he has returned 34pts, which matches Salah with 34pts.

Mane would be a decent differential Captain, his attacking stats are improving & matching the Egyptian King, a little stat I found which is very interesting particular for Mane. With West Brom down the right flank, they have conceded (29) chances, which is third-worst in the league. Only Leeds & Newcastle have conceded more down the right-hand side.

Diogo Jota is always worth a mention, his shots inside the box (15) & shots on target (7) matches closely to Salah, Jota is having a goal drought, he hasn’t returned in the last 4. I don’t think he’s a silly candidate to put the armband on, but it’s difficult to know whether he’ll start this week, due to rotation with Firmino. I guess we’ll know more after tonight’s game where they face Man Utd.

Alexander Arnold has created 12 chances in the last 4 which is the highest in the team. One goal, that’s only one behind Salah & Mane and an assist which is joint with Salah. If we take a look at West Brom on the left side of the pitch, which they have conceded 21 goals, that’s the 9th worst in the league. This isn’t so bad, but the other candidates have a good chance to return with a clean sheet that is promising.

Looking at the candidates mentioned above, Salah is a great option for the band and if you are going differential, then Mane is a good shout. Both players have a good chance to return points, but there’s only one man who I think will outscore between the two, & that’s Mo Salah. Let’s not forget he is fighting for the golden boot & that momentum edge’s me for the armband (especially as he’s is only one behind the leader; Harry Kane).

Harry Kane (£11.8m)

VS Wolves (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 4 matches (comparing the 2 teams against each other):

I have to say it didn’t feel right not to mention the top goal scorer in the Premier League last week, but without a doubt, we will this week. Harry Kane hasn’t returned a goal or assist in the last 2 matches. His previous match was against Leeds where Spurs lost 3-1, & a deserved win it was for The Peacocks. Kane did find himself unlucky not to score after his goal was ruled for offside by a toenail.

Both teams are in the top 10 for best big chances conceded (6-6), & their goals conceded (6-6) which is the 7th worst in the last 4 matches. Clearly showing some unpredictable moments at the back.

Tottenham have lost three of their six home Premier League games against Wolves. Wolves have won their last two away matches against Spurs & have won three in total.

Ok so the man that is in form is Heung-min Son, he’s been involved in four goals in the last three Premier League appearances under Ryan Mason (3 goals, 1 assist), scoring in each of his last three matches.

With no surprise Son has (12) chances created, that’s double the chances out of all his teammates in the last 4 matches.

Underlying Stats for the last 6 home matches:

Gareth Bale could be a decent differential for the captaincy too, if we look at Spurs last 6 home matches, the Welshman tops with 8 goals, to Son’s & Kane’s (4-4), also having high shot’s on target (11), that’s 4 more to Kane’s (7). I can see potential returns here.

Harry Kane in the last 5 matches has returned 31 points, his next opponents are at home against Wolves.

Kane hasn’t exactly found his form since his ankle injury, but if we take a look at his attacking potential you can see he’s getting the chances, he’s got a decent (7) big chances total, that’s the best out of the two player’s (3-2). With those chances he’s the top goalscorer with 5 goals, & has an impressive (27) goal attempts, which is double to the other candidates. To finish off with his shots conversion, Kane has (16) shot’s in the box & (8) shots on target, which is the highest in the table.

I’m going with the man who is due a goal, he’ll be wanting to clear up the golden boot, & that’s Harry Kane. I do think Son is arguably a decent Captain too, as he’s showing recent good form. Garth Bale’s home form in the last 6 is something to consider too.

Riyad Mahrez (£8m)

VS Newcastle (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 4 matches (comparing the 2 teams against each other):

My differential player of the week is the Algerian; Riyad Mahrez. Manchester City lost their previous game against Chelsea by two goals to 1, & the interesting part of it is Mahrez didn’t feature, which could potentially mean he’ll start the next game. He actually didn’t start in the last 2 games so he’s definitely due a start in the next fixture!

The next matchup is a trip to Newcastle, they haven’t won any of their last 3 games against Manchester City. An even more damaging record, The Magpies have won one of their last 26 Premier League matches against (City D4-L21).

Before we go into Pep’s roulette, we have to say a big congratulations to Manchester City on winning the Premier League.

Now a big thank you to @anna_woodberry who wrote a brilliant thread on “Manchester City’s XI for the final three matches”. I will now show her excellent & helpful work.

Here’s a table when splitting Pep’s XI since IB into UCL vs Pl & Cups, you’ll see he played a similar XI against both Dortmund & PSG:

The table below shows Manchester City minutes since the international break:

Looking at the table (apart from Ederson & Dias), there’s no other player who has started three games in a row. So to back up Mahrez for the captaincy, he is now due a start this week. Despite Man City winning the league on Tuesday night, I’m sure Pep wants to put out a decent team & keep the boys fresh for the Champions League final.

Mahrez in the last 6 matches is City’s top goalscorer with 3 goals, 13 shots inside the box which is three behind leading Sterling (13-16), & he tops for most shots on target (8).

Kevin De Bruyne is also worth a mention, but we aren’t too sure if he’s fit for this weeks game, with no surprise he tops for most chances created (18), & xGI (3.04).

The highest xG goes to Sterling & Aguero. Aguero had a game to forget after his dreadful penalty miss, still, he has 2 goals and an assist in the last 4, another differential for sure, but not so certain he will start as I am with Mahrez.

Sterling tops for shots inside the box with (16), but has a dreadful (5) shots on target. This tells us that he’s not as clinical as the other candidates.

I’ll leave you to ponder on my differential Captain; Riyad Mahrez, if he starts then he would be arguably a very good captain to choose to.

My Conclusion:

And there we have it folks! This week’s Captaincy pick isn’t such an easy one to choose from as there are so many decent candidates, definitely a good week for a differential.

My number 1 captaincy for BGW36 is Dominic Calvert-Lewin, a nice pick in my opinion as I don’t see him being such a big favourite for the armband, which could be good for your rank gains. We also have Salah & Kane in the top three order.

I just want to wish you all the best & thank you for reading.

Who’s Winning The Arm Band:

1️⃣ Dominic Calvert-Lewin

2️⃣ Mohammed Salah

3️⃣ Harry Kane

4️⃣ Riyad Mahrez

Who’s The Best Captain For Triple Gameweek 35?

Who’s The Best Captain for Triple Gameweek 35?

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 35 (TGW35).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Premium Options & Team Comparisons

📌 My Conclusion

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

Results of the Poll:

We had a wide range of candidates for the CAPTAINCY vote, as you can see Bruno Fernandes is leading by 39%, Iheanacho in second 27%, while Dominic Calvert Lewin 8% is in third. The other player that was most selected was Salah, but that’s if Liverpool gets a Double Gameweek. Now I can confirm this will be the case, but not only news for Liverpool, Manchester United have been assigned a triple Gameweek!

Premium Options & Team Comparison:

Bruno Fernandes: £11.5m

Fixture’s: Aston Villa (A), Leicester (H) & Liverpool (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

What a triple up fixture we have now! I can’t recall there being 3 games in 1 Gameweek before. We have been waiting for this news since Sunday evening & now it is finally here.

The first call out will be Bruno Fernandes, arguably he could be the most effective ownership in all season. I will be comparing other candidates in the United team who deserve a mention. I’ll start off with the 3 fixtures United have coming up; Aston Villa, Leicester & Liverpool.

Underlying Stats for the last 4 matches:

Manchester United haven’t lost in their last 7 games. In the last 27 meetings playing at home, Villa has only won twice, there have been 7 draws whilst United have won 18 times. The goal difference is 43-16 in favour of the Red Devil’s.

Leicester will be no pushovers, their defensive record is equal to United’s. For the blues they have a 3.09 xG conceded that’s 5th best, & only conceded 4 big chances (5th best).

So we come to the last game, Manchester United vs Liverpool. In one of the biggest games in the Premier League, Klopp’s boys will be pushing hard for fourth place; so it’s a very important 3 points needed.

Manchester United have lost just one of their last 15 home games against Liverpool in all Competitions. (W10-D4)

In my opinion, I don’t see many goals, both teams are fairly strong at the back, in the last 4 matches United & Liverpool has conceded 3 goals, (33-31) goal attempts conceded & xG conceded (4.02-3.15). Underlying stats top 7th best in the league.

Bruno Fernandes doesn’t have the best stats to look at but we know he’s capable of giving us attacking returns. Chances Created (7) & xGI (2.73) is what stands out the most.

Bruno hasn’t scored since game week 27 & that was against Man City, but there is light under the tunnel. Manchester United’s thrilling game against Roma ended 6-2, Fernandes got himself 2 goals & 2 assists. The point I’m making is that he may be getting his form back & he’s well overdue a goal or more in the Premier League.

One player who I think could be a decent differential is Mason Greenwood, he has the most shots inside the box (13) & shots on target (9) out of all the United players. He’s also scored 4 times and assisted once in the last 4 Gameweeks. The young man has been labelled as one of the best finishers in the league, if he starts & gets a role up front, I think there’s potential attacking returns.

Cavani with 2 goals is the 2nd best. This is very good when he’s only had 2 starts in the last 4, & with low shots inside the box & on target (3-3). But as you can guess, it would be difficult to hand over the armband due to his lack of starts.

Pogba has improved recently, with 3 assists in 3 matches, & 2nd best for chances created (6). He is level with Bruno for shots inside the box (6), nevertheless, I would find it difficult to trust him for returns.

Bruno has shown all season that we can trust him for returns, especially against tough teams. The stats don’t show great attacking potential, but his goal involvement, creativity, set pieces & on penalty’s, let alone having a triple up on fixtures, Bruno has a great chance to return big points!

Mohammed Salah: £12.7m

Fixture: Southampton (h)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

First up we are going to be targeting the Liverpool assets. Liverpool now has a Double Gameweek and it has been confirmed that they will no longer blank in Gameweek 36. In Gameweek 36, they will now be facing West Brom Away.

Underlying Stats for the last 4 matches:

Liverpool faces Southampton at home, they sit 2nd for most conceded goals in the league, conceding 12 big chances (also 2nd worst). Manchester United have conceded 6 Big chances, which is the 6th best in the Premier League. As mentioned above the United game will be the toughest out of the two fixtures.

Southampton hasn’t won in their last 4 games. When playing at home Liverpool have not lost to Southampton in their last 4 visits.

Liverpool has won 5 goals in their last seven away league games (D1-L1), more than they had in their previous 15 on the road (W4-D6-L5).

The stats table above shows 6 players which I’ve picked out; making his mark up the top is Mohammed Salah. Liverpool now has a Double Gameweek and it would be hard to ignore. Salah has scored in each of his last three league starts. What is also very encouraging is that Salah does favour the Saints games. His impressive record is seven goals & one assist in seven league appearances. He has never failed to score against Southampton when he’s at Anfield.

One player who does match Salah is Diogo Jota, comparing nicely with shots inside the box (14-14) & shots on target 6-7, along with big chances total, (6-4) & chances created (5-4), they both show decent attacking potential.

A negative point for Jota would be whether we can trust him to start. With last weekend’s cancelled game against United, he was on the bench, whereas Salah wasn’t. I would find it difficult to trust him with the armband.

Perhaps we could throw Mane into the mix, he too has a decent big chances total & chances created (5-5), but has only scored 1 goal & 1 assist in the last 4, compared to Salah’s 3 goals. Mane is showing decent shots in the box (11) but not getting a decent amount on target (5), showing that he’s not as clinical with his shots then the 2 other guys.

Firmino is some way down the pecking order with 0 goals & 0 assists in the last 4, so I think it’s fair to say he will not be considered as captain. He does have more chances created than Salah, Jota & Mane, with 1.38 xGI, so there is an assist potential.

As for Alexander Arnold & Robertson, there is potential for Liverpool to grab a clean sheet. Taking a look at Trent’s 11 chances created which is the most out of all the players mentioned, 1 goal & 1 assist there are good chances for returns. Robertson is some way off that but does give 9 chances created which sits him 2nd for most chances created.

I would find it difficult to trust a defender for the captaincy, the stats above clearly shows one man who can deliver the goods, & his name is Mo Salah.

Iheanacho £6.3

Newcastle (h) & Man United (a)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Well, this man can’t stop delivering, with nine goals, two assists, 73 points & just one blank over his last eight league matches. With a Double Gameweek coming up, how can we not include Iheanacho into the mix?

The first game is very appealing as they face a dodgy Newcastle team at home, then travel up to Old Trafford.

Underlying Stats for the last 4 matches:

As you can see Newcastle is far more the attractive team to attack, while Man United will be a difficult opponent, in which I don’t see many goals on either side due to Leicester being a solid team at the back themselves.

Newcastle United haven’t won any of their last 4 games against Leicester City. On the other hand, Iheanacho has scored twice against Manchester United & registered an assist just over a month ago in their 3-1 FA Cup quarter-final victory.

Comparing to his teammates in the last 4 matches, he holds the highest for shots inside the box (12) & shots on target (9), with the highest xG (2.24).

Vardy is a little unlucky not to add more to his goal tally, with only 1 goal in four matches. He has one more big chances total than Iheanacho but hasn’t been as clinical enough. Still, he gets in good positions & has a decent partnership with the Nigerian. Vardy could be a decent Differential Captain.

Overall Iheanacho would be my go-to man, only blanking once in eight matches & that was against Man City; so we can give him some leeway. I can see attacking returns against Newcastle, but United would be a difficult match. So relying on 1 game in a double could be costly. Either way, he’s proven his worth & could be the man to make the difference.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin £7.5m

VS WHU (a) & AVL (a)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

A fresh mention to our captaincy picks, it’s been far too long since we’ve added Dominic Calvert-Lewin to the mix. Finally, he got himself back on the score sheet and 2 bonus points at the weekend. Honestly, the timing is perfect, with Everton set to face both West Ham & Aston Villa.

Underlying Stats for the last 4 matches:

The table above shows both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, & looking very equal in comparison. The first matchup is a trip to the London Stadium, Everton has lost just one of their last 5 games against the Hammers in all Competitions.

The Toffies go back the week after to Aston Villa, where they lost 2-1 on Sunday evening. This will be the 205th top-flight meeting between Aston Villa & Everton, the most played fixture in England’s top division.

The good news for DCL owners is that his form against the Hammer’s has been very good, bagging himself a hat-trick earlier in the season during their fourth-round Carabao Cup tie. It’s now been seven matches since West Ham has kept a clean sheet, conceding 13 goals over that time period.

Villa on the other hand has been just as poor, they have no clean sheets in their last seven. Calvert Lewin scored against them last weekend and I’m sure he’ll be up for it again.

I have selected two other players to compete with Calvert. Sigurdsson stands out with (4) chances created, & equal goals with the Englishmen (2-2) for the last 4 matches. Richarlison on the other hand is far down the pecking order, with no goals in four, with 0 big chances created, & a low of (0.60) xG.

Could this man finish on a high this season? Fixtures are looking lovely & I think he has every chance to start picking up his form from early on. A nice captain to choose from I’d say.

My Conclusion:

It feels like it’s been a long week for us managers, but we have finally received the news for the updated fixtures for the Man United v Liverpool game. Man United have been given a Triple Gameweek and Liverpool now has a Double. The new United fixtures will be the most attractive to many managers, but do we think Bruno Fernandes will play three games in a row? Chances are he won’t. Two out of three is more likely.

Now Mo Salah has now got a Double Gameweek which for many managers is what they wanted until the Bruno triple came about. Questions will be asked on whether he can outperform the Portuguese star. I do think he has every chance of getting decent attacking returns and outscoring Bruno.

So to wrap it up, with the Triple Gameweek announced for the Red Devil’s, all eyes are set on the Portuguese man himself; Bruno Fernandes.

Good luck FPL Managers!

Who’s Winning The Arm Band:

1️⃣ Bruno Fernandes

2️⃣ Salah

3️⃣ Greenwood

4️⃣ Iheanacho

5️⃣ Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Who’s The Best Captain For Gameweek 34?

Who’s The Best Captain for Gameweek 34?

This article is written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison).

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 34 (GW34).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Who Are The Top Performers

📌 Premium Options & Differential Choice

📌 My Conclusion

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

Results of the Poll:

Welcome back to another captaincy article. As you can see above we have a captain poll for Gameweek 34. I’m going to try to break down key attacking stats to help you with your decision. In conclusion, I will narrow all the candidates down and choose the best 5 players.

Who Are The Top Performers?

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Who are the top performers? In the stats table above I have chosen 5 players who I think are worthy candidates.

Premiums:

Harry Kane £11.8m

Sheffield United (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 4.20
  • Goals: 4
  • Shots Inside The Box: 12
  • Assist: 0
  • Chances Created: 2
  • Big Chances: 6

I’m going to start off with the most votes from the poll and that’s Harry Kane, I’m pretty sure he will get the most effective ownership this Gameweek. Spurs are facing Sheffield United at home. First of all, I will break down the blades defensive stats.

Underlying stats in the last 6 matches for Sheffield United ⤵️

Big chances conceded: 21 (1st)

Goal attempts in box conceded: 63 (1st)

Goals conceded: 13 (2nd)

xG conceded: 13.19 (1st)

Goal attempts conceded: 98 (4th)

As you can see Sheffield United is a good team to target due to their defensive records in the last six matches. Tottenham at home has not lost to Sheffield United in the last four encounters. United’s away record this season is 1-1-14. Add that to the Blades having lost seven away matches in a row…

The Premier League top goalscorer is Harry Kane with 21 goals. He will be feeling fairly confident to add to his goalscoring tally that’s for sure. Let’s take a look at his attacking potential for this Gameweek. As you can see Kane has six big chances, which puts him at the top out of all the Spurs players. Along with his shots inside the Box (12) and his (19) goal attempts; his open play potential is very good. To top this off, he’s also on penalties which is even more encouraging for returns.

If we take a look at Harry Kane’s expected goals which is (4.20), that’s the highest in the league as it stands in the last four matches. Below him is Chris Wood with (3.31). His expected goal involvement (4.44) is the highest in the league; this shows his assist potential. More importantly, in the last four matches, he has five goals, which is the highest in the league and six big chances total.

Kane has also scored two goals in the last two games against Sheffield United, including one in the reverse fixture. He’s also had 10 attacking returns in the last eight games, that’s eight goals and two assists which is a league-leading total.

We can understand why Kane will have the most effective ownership for this Gameweek; it makes total sense. Playing against one of the worst teams in the Premier League this season & especially looking at their poor away record is very encouraging for FPL Managers.

To finish off, Kane is the Premier League current top goalscorer (with 21 goals), he’s the favourite for the golden boot & the second-highest scorer in fantasy asset this season.

It will be a tough one to compete with the one and only Harry Kane.

Son Heung-min  £9.5m

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 1.53
  • Goals: 2
  • Shots Inside The Box: 7
  • Assist: 0
  • Chances Created: 7
  • Big Chances: 2

It would be very rude of me to not include Heung-min Son in this article. As we know, Harry Kane’s attacking potential compared to Son’s is way off the charts. In my opinion, if Kane wasn’t to play then Son is far more appealing, but I’m pretty sure that this will not be the case.

If we take a look at the ‘who is the top performer’ attacking stats table and we compare Son, Kane & Iheanacho, you can see that Son is some way behind in that pecking order. But what he does have is a better advantage on chances created; (7) to Kane’s (2) and Iheanacho’s (6). Now this shows he is creating chances but the stats do show that in terms of shots inside the box and shots on target, he’s way off the mark. So in terms of a lack of quality potential in the attacking phase, I would find it difficult to stick the armband on someone who I can’t totally rely on getting goals. As for his teammate, I have all the trust and the stats to back him up.

Kelechi Iheancho £6.2m

Southampton (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 1.84
  • Goals: 4
  • Shots Inside The Box: 10
  • Assist: 1
  • Chances Created: 6
  • Big Chances: 2

Now, this is a player I’m looking forward to writing about. He’s playing in the best form of his life right now & we need to take this lad serious.

Leicester played Crystal Palace on Monday night where they found themselves 1-0 down at half-time. It was a very poor first half for The Foxes, creating hardly any chances, and struggling to create any combinations in the final third. In the second half, Brendan Rodgers got an instant reaction from the 49th minute where Castagne levelled the game, with an assist from Iheanacho to then winning the game by an excellent finish from the star man himself.

Leicester is up against Southampton (A), let’s take a look at their defensive record in the last 6 matches.

Big chances conceded- 17 (4th)

Goal attempts in box conceded- 47 (12th)

Goals Conceded- 14 (1st)

Expected goal conceded- 10.5 (8th)

As you can see, the standouts are goals conceded, combining that with big chances conceded. This tells us that whenever Southampton give away a big chance, they are likely to concede a goal.

Iheanacho has (2) big chances in total in the last four matches. If we take that even further to the last six matches; his combined big chance total goes up to (7), levelling Kane (7) & even Son as well. So the point I’m making here is that Southampton have conceded a lot of big chances and with Iheanacho on a high, I’m sure that he will take those opportunities and convert them to goals.

He has also been directly involved in 14 attacking returns in the last nine appearances for Leicester (12 goals, 2 assists).

He’s only blanked once in the last seven Premier League games and in that time he’s returned 68 points which no other player can beat.

Leicester has had a decent last three games at Saint Mary’s, scoring 15 goals; nine of those coming from last season.

In my opinion, Iheanacho is a very good captain pick. For those FPL managers who would like to go for a slightly more differential pick and try to push for more gains in your rank, then this guy would be your go-to man.

Differentials:

Chris Wood £6.3m & Matheus Pereira £5.5m 

West Ham (h) & Wolves (h)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where both players was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 3.31 ↔️ 2.53
  • Goals: 4 ↔️ 4
  • Shots Inside The Box: 14 ↔️ 6
  • Assist: 3 ↔️ 2
  • Chances Created: 6 ↔️ 9
  • Big Chances: 5 ↔️ 3

Going into my two differential picks, I have chosen Matheus Pereira and Chris Wood.

If we take a look at the “Who are the Top Performers” stats table, you will find that Chris Wood is only 1 behind Harry Kane. With expected goals (3.31) and the most shots inside the box (14). That’s two more than Kane’s 12 which sits him top for shots on target (10).

In Chris Wood’s last match he got himself a nice hat-trick and provided an assist against a very poor Wolves side. In the last seven meetings against the Hammers, Wood has six goals and one assist. They have won the last two home games against West Ham, scoring five goals without conceding. To top that off, over the last seven games he’s returned six goals and accumulated 57 points with only Kane and Iheanacho actually being more prolific.

The next differential is Matheus Pereira. If we compare him to the other players, he sits third for expected goals (2.53), with an xGI of (3.37) & joint with Kane for shots on target (8).

Pereira has been involved in 60% of West Brom’s goals since Sam Allardyce took over in Gameweek 14. He has returned four goals, two assists and obtained 42 points in the last four matches.

In the reverse fixture against Wolves, Pereira scored twice & returned 15 points.

Conclusion:

There are many good candidates for the captaincy for this week but my number one pick will be Harry Kane. In the last Gameweek, I went with Iheanacho and he returned a pretty nifty 24 points. If we compare Kane and Iheanacho, there isn’t a lot between them in all honesty. One man is clearly in the form of his life and the other has been in great form all season. Effectively Kane (in my opinion) will get the most effective ownership and I think there is a better Gameweek to go for a differential. For this week I’m going to be playing it safe. On the other hand, if you’re looking to go more differential then Ihanacho could be a low-risk punt. Who knows with FPL right?

So my Gameweek 34 captain will be Harry Kane…

Whos Winning the Arm Band:

1️⃣ Kane

2️⃣ Ihanacho

3️⃣ Son

4️⃣ Wood

5️⃣ Pereira

 

Good luck everybody! I hope you enjoyed this article and I wish you all the best for Gameweek 34.

Who’s The Best Captain For Gameweek 33?

With GW 33 creeping upon us. Over here at the FPL way, we are determined to help you select the best captain choice for the upcoming Gameweek. This week, however, the choice will be made harder as we are without any of our beloved and reliable Manchester City and Tottenham assets. So I (@FplKarlll) will help shed some light on how to work around this and climb rank this week. Providing you with the best captaincy choice to get those green arrows.

Firstly: What to do with your Spurs or City assets? If any of your assets go by the name of Ederson, Dias, Stones, Kevin De Bruyne, Harry Kane, or Heung-Min Son, then please safely and kindly direct them to the bench. Why? Well, Spurs will be facing newly relegated Sheffield United in GW34 whilst Man City will be facing Crystal Palace. For GW34, these will be two potential fixtures to target, but more on that next week.

Tier 1 Captaincy picks (Ol Reliables)

Two of the most reliable Fantasy assets find themselves with two tasty fixtures going into GW33 with only 1 captain armband to share.

Mo Salah (12.3) found himself blanking after coming off the bench in the 71’st minute against leads in a 1-1 draw. This means that Newcastle will be facing a well-rested Salah who has seen himself amass 3 goals in his last 4 starts whilst simultaneously chasing a golden boot against Harry Kane. Not only that but he has managed 4 goals and 2 assists in his 8 previous games against Newcastle. Salah is my favourable pick of the week and I believe these stats help justify that. Salah has exhibited typical golden boot chasing form; producing 17 shots (2nd highest) and leading with 13 shots from inside the box over the past 5 game weeks. And with the right side of Liverpool’s attack getting a goal or assist in the past 5 games, I’m sure the 2nd top goal scorer in the league will be looking to add to that run.

Bruno Fernandes (11.4) has found himself blanking for 3 Gameweeks in a row. That being said; Man Utd are in impeccable away form, scoring thirty goals on the road in 16 games this year. It’s hard to count him out in the roses derby this weekend, especially with his fellow strikers. These players include Greenwood and Cavani who have picked up their form in recent games. The patient may find themselves being rewarded this week as I find it hard to believe a player with 16 Goals and 11 Assists in 32 will go quietly into the night as the season comes to a close.

Tier 2 – In Form players

Fantasy law #1 Form over instinct.

Mason Greenwood (7.1) are playing Leeds away. Greenwood has been back to his best recently with 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 3. Since GW28, His stats per 90 speak for themselves with 5.31 shots per game, 2.19 shots on target and 1.25 big chances a game with 0.94 big chances created per game. Also, add those stats to the prolific finishing ability of the youngster. There are certainly no signs of him stopping.

Kelechi Ihenacho (6.1) will be up against Palace at home. The senior man has recently stepped into the spotlight this year with 8 goals in 2021 including a sensational brace against West Ham. His form has proven him to be a non-debatable starter especially with his current price at only 6.1M. Ihenacho has found himself taking the 4th highest shots with (12 in the last 4 game weeks and 7 of those shots being on target). Ihenacho’s ability to find the net cannot be questioned, solidifying his position in captaincy discussions this week.

Tier 3 – Differential tier

Trent Alexander Arnold (7.4) will be facing Newcastle at home. He has recently found his form we normally expect from him. He’s had a disappointing season but he has picked that up by gathering 3 goals and assists in his last 3 PL games. Since GW26 Trent has created the most chance (19) outranking the likes of Bruno and KDB. He has also created 5 big chances (1 less than the leader). With the possibilities of him being able to get a clean sheet as well, he could well be a decent differential captain!

Matheus Pereira (5.4) face Villa away in their next fixture. West Brom’s main man this season has managed to accrue 14 goals and assists this season. This means the Brazilian has contributed to 50% of his teams’ goals this season. Added with Villa’s current form and last clean sheet being Wolves (H) on March 6th. West Brom’s games always seem to find Pereira’s name on the score sheet. He is also the team’s designated penalty taker. For a player at only 5.4M, this could help free up some money for some potential big hitters.

Conclusion

Overall Gameweek 33 seems to have fellow FPL players struggling for captaincy picks, especially without the likes of Harry Kane, Kevin De Bruyne, and Heung-Min Son. We’ve been left scrambling for a solid captaincy pick and I hope the information provided will ease your decision this Gameweek. Personally (if you could not tell already), Mo Salah will take my Captain’s armband this week against Newcastle who has managed to concede 53 goals this season. I have been slightly tempted by Trent Alexander-Arnold’s creative ability and Greenwood’s recent attacking prowess but this can only go one way in my eyes.

I wish you all good fortune and plenty of green arrows in the closing game weeks to come! Until next time @FplKarlll out!

Who’s The Best Captain For Gameweek 32?

Who Will You Choose⁉️

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 32 (GW32).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Who Are The Top Performers (Stats Table)

📌 Premium & Differential’s

📌 My Conclusion

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

 

Results of the Poll:

First of all, 82% is extraordinary for a poll percentage, I might as well just stop here as we know who will be the clear favourite for this Gameweek. But nevertheless, let’s explore some possibilities for the other candidates.

The following stats will be sourced from @FFscout.

Who Are The Top Performers?

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

The table above you is an attacking stats table I like to choose from when I’m choosing my captaincy picks. If I narrow it down to 2 stats, I particularly look out for shots on target and shots in the box. The more shots on target you see in a player, the higher the quality of a player’s shooting ability & accuracy in front of goal.

Premiums:

Harry Kane: £11.7m

Fixtures: Southampton (H) & Everton (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 3.37
  • Goals: 3
  • Shots Inside The Box: 9
  • Assist: 0
  • Chances Created: 0
  • Big Chances: 4

We start off with the main man himself Harry Kane, who clearly will have the most EO for this game week & I’m definitely not going to talk you out of him in this article. But what I am going to do is write why we should captain Kane.

I have heard some mumblings about Spurs not doing so well against Man United in Gameweek 31 & therefore doubting captaining Kane due to their poor performance. However, I need to remind you guys, Man United have a really good record against the top 6 teams, so don’t let that game put you off.

Spurs are playing Southampton at home, let me throw in some stats: In the last 6 games, the Saints sit 3rd for Big Chances Conceded (18), Top 6 for xGC (9.78), & 2nd for Goals Conceded (13). Looking at these poor defensive stats it’s very encouraging from an attacking point of view for Harry Kane. Everton are looking slightly better defensively, they sit bottom half of the stats table for Goals Conceded (10), bottom 6th for xG Conceded (6.73) & sit in the bottom 5 for Goals Conceded (5). Everton will be the trickier team out of two teams & the stats proves that.

So if we take a look at Kane’s attacking stats, I’m going to introduce you to more favourable stats that I like to choose when I look for my captain. In the last 6 matches, he’s joint second for chances in the box, 7 Big Chances which is joint best & 11 shots on target (also joint best in the league). We also need to mention his goal involvement; Harry Kane has 32 goal involvements this season, Son 23, which makes them both extremely good FPL options. I would strongly recommend owning them. Kane is clearly a very strong candidate & will be hard to match.

Son Heung-min: £9.4m

Southampton (H) & Everton (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 0.75
  • Goals: 1
  • Mins Per Goal Attempt In Box: 48.8
  • Assist: 1
  • Chances Created: 4
  • Big Chances: 2

Now we’ve cleared up the clear favourite, I’m now going to add the second most voted player; Son (12%). Worthy for the captaincy? Well, compared to Kane he doesn’t have as much attacking potential as we would like him to have. Son’s creative ability has become more his game this season than goals: in the last 6 matches he has (4) chances created to Kane’s (0), but that doesn’t strike me as the go to stat. I’m going to show you some comparisons between them both.

Kane & Son

Shot’s in the box: 9 ↔️ 5

Shots on Target: 7 ↔️ 3

Goal Attempts: 17 ↔️ 6

As my go to stats, this show’s Kane has far more attacking potential than Son. I would Say Son is the creator not the scorer, so that dents his chances for the armband. I do think if you need play aggressively to gain rank, Son is a good differential Captain.

Bruno Fernandes: £11.6m

Burnley (h)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 1.56
  • Goals: 1
  • Mins Per Goal Attempt In Box: 119.3
  • Assist: 1
  • Chances Created: 11
  • Big Chances: 3

Now we go to the 3rd most voted (3%), Bruno Fernandes. I think its fair to say Bruno Fernandes is running out of steam slightly & to be honest I’m not surprised considering how long he has performed so strongly in FPL since joining United last year in January. It just shows that he is actually human after all. Bruno is heading to Burnley and on a defensive note I will put out some stats on the table: In the last 4 matches Burnley are in the top 4 for Big Chances Conceded (13), top 6 for Goals Conceded (7) & in the top 5 for xG Conceded (7.52). I think Bruno has a good chance of an attacking return in this match.

Taking a look at Bruno’s attacking stats he only has (1) assist in the last 4, which isn’t great. What I do like to see is his Shots on Target (7); that is comparable to Kane, Lingard & Iheanacho. As you can see Bruno is much of a distance shooter as he has (3) Shots In The Box, compared to the like’s of Kane (9), Lingard (10) & Iheanacho (10), which again put’s him down as the non favourite compared to the others.

Of course, we have to note down that Bruno is on penalties, which is good as if he scores he inevitably gets at least 10pts. But if you compare that to Kane, he’s 1) on a Double Game week, & 2) his attacking potential is far greater. Bruno is a brilliant player and playing against Burnley is a tasty fixture, but he will not be my captain this week.

Differentials

Jesse Lingard & Kelechi Iheanacho:

Fixtures: Newcastle (A) & West Brom (H)

Underlying attacking stats compared in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 2.35 ↔️ 2.75
  • Goals: 5 ↔️ 6
  • Mins Per Goal Attempts: 35.7 ↔️ 34.1
  • Assist: 2 ↔️ 0
  • Chances Created: 4 ↔️ 6
  • Big Chances: 5 ↔️ 4

We now come to the interesting part, the other choices of the poll with (3%) of the vote. Jesse Lingard! A worthy differential captain as he can’t stop scoring right now, with 6 goals in 4 games. He is also playing Newcastle (A) which is a nice fixture to target. I did mention in my last article whether Lingard would play as well without Antonio due to him having no shots after Antonio came off in the 1st half. Obviously I was wrong as he scored 2 goals against Leicester.

Let’s run through Jesse’s last 6 matches. He’s joint second in the whole league for Shots on Target, he also has had (5) Big Chances which is joint 3rd highest in the whole league. Surprisingly Lingard’s xG doesn’t match up compared to most of the players above but he still provides a decent amount of shots on goal & his chances compared to those above are pretty good too. If Spurs weren’t playing a double game week then he would be most likely my captain this week.

Iheanacho has also been in top form recently. Scoring 6 goals in 6 games, they have very similar xG: Iheanacho (2.75) and Lingard (2.35). Iheanacho’s other stats are similar to Lingard: Shots on Target 8 ↔️ 8, Shots Inside the Box 10 ↔️ 10 & Big Chances Total 4 ↔️ 5. You can see clearly the stats are great for both players. Leicester are playing against West Brom, who I would say are one of the best defences in the league at the moment. So again, compared to the mighty Kane, these boys just can’t compete and for the obvious reasons both will not have the armband. After Gameweek 32 they are very much up for consideration, but just not this week.

My Conclusion:

We finish off with my conclusion. I think it goes without question who my captaincy pick will be in Gameweek 32. When it comes to stats, form and comparing the other players that we have previously mentioned, the choice is obvious. This man has a double game week, is the top goalscorer in the Premier League and has 34 goal involvements this season. There’s only one man we can choose and that is Harry Kane. So yes, he is my captain for this week. The other candidates would all likely be great options if he didn’t have the double gameweek. You don’t have to Captain Kane, but you have to consider what could happen if you don’t. We know his effective ownership is very high and he could really cause some damage to your rank. On the flip side, if he doesn’t get any points and you go for a differential perhaps, you could potentially gain a bit of rank here. I’m pretty confident Kane will bag quite a few points in his double Gameweek, and in all honestly, I couldn’t justify captaining anyone else.

Well, I hope you’ve enjoyed reading this article, I wish you all the best for your Gameweek. Please give me a follow @FPL_D5L. Below you will see who’s winning the armband, all the order for all the candidates we have spoken about from 1 to 5

Have a great weekend!

Who’s Winning The Armband?

1️⃣ Kane

2️⃣ Son

3️⃣ Lingard

4️⃣ Iheanacho

5️⃣ Bruno Fernandes

GW31 Captaincy Pick – Who Will You Choose?

Who’s The Best Captain for Gameweek 31?

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 31 (GW31).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Premium Options & Differential Choice

📌 Who Are The Top Performers

📌Which Fixtures Should Be Targeted

📌 My Conclusion

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

Results of the Poll:

As you can see out of Kane, Salah & Kevin De Bruyne, Salah has a slight lead with 38% of the vote, with KDB getting 22% & in-form Kane getting 18%. 22% went for ‘Other’, which I will cover later in this article. The following stats will be sourced from @FFscout.

Premium Options

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 GWs (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Kevin De Bruyne: 

  • 1.55 xG
  • 2 goals
  • 0.83 xA
  • 1 assist
  • 12 chances created
  • 2 big chances

Mohammad Salah:

  • 1.13 xG
  • 1 goal
  • 0.35 xA
  • 0 assists
  • 2 chances created
  • 1 big chances created

Harry Kane:

  • 4.18 expected goal
  • 6 goals
  • 1.04 expected assists
  • 2 assists
  • 3 chances created
  • 2 big chances created

Bruno Fernandes:

  • 1.55 expected goal
  • 1 goal
  • 0.80 expected assists
  • 1 assist
  • 10 chances created
  • 1 big chances created

Differential Choices:

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 GWs (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Diogo Jota:

  • 1.04 expected goal
  • 3 goals
  • 0.07 expected assists
  • 0 assists
  • 2 chances created
  • 0 big chances created

Jesse Lingard:

  • 1.94 expected goal
  • 3 goals
  • 0.09 expected assists
  • 3 assists
  • 4 chances created
  • 0 big chances created

Who are the Top Performers?

This table compares both the Premiums & Differentials (Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 GWs)

We start with the Premier League’s top goalscorer Harry Kane who has registered 19 goals & 13 assists in 28 games. A record like this doesn’t usually see their team sitting 25 points behind 1st place!

What’s impressed me more this season is that he’s managed to bring his passing and crossing range into the game without losing his goal-scoring ability.

Kane out of the seven players above has the highest xG (4.18), with an xG per 90 of  0.83. In Kane’s last 6 GWs, per 90 minutes he has registered 1.3 big chances, 2.45 shots in the box and 1.96 shots on target! On top of this, he also has an xA of 1.34. These stats make Kane a great candidate for the armband.

We now go to the Liverpool boys, Mo Salah & Diogo Jota. The return of Salah is making many managers pay attention at the moment- he has a great run of games coming up & now that he’s started to score many managers will be thinking about whether to captain him ahead in GW31 as well as other Gameweeks. Looking at the stats, you can make a case for Salah being the best captaincy option in the Liverpool attack.

Over the course of the season (Salah vs Mane vs Jota):

Minutes Per Shot in the box:  36.32 vs 34.34 vs 38.42

Minutes Per Big Chance: 101.1, vs 113 v 113 vs 104.2

Minutes Per Chance: 26.5 vs 29.7 vs 29.2

Looking at these numbers, between the three Liverpool attackers, Salah is the best option.

My differential pick is Jota: he’s becoming too hard to ignore and is making himself an interesting captaincy shout. In the last 4 gameweeks, Jota has averaged a goal attempt in the box every 45.8 minutes & when you consider his his price, he offers great value. No one has a higher goal involvement % for Liverpool (50%) in the league then Jota he has been on the pitch this season.  Jota has also given Salah a boost because, unlike Firmino & Mane, Jota has proven to be a handful for Liverpool’s opponents this season.

Jesse Lingard. Simply put, he’s on fire right now. One of my differential picks for this Gameweek and for a good reason too – just take a look at his attacking stats for his last 4 matches: 3 goals, 3 assists, 5 chances & 2 big chances. One key stat to point out is that Lingard is 3rd for expected goal involvements (2.03) across all the midfielders in the Premier League in the last 4 Gameweeks. It should be noted Antonio had to come off due to injury (hamstring) in the 1st half which did affect Lingard’s performance slightly; Lingard had no shots after Antonio left the pitch. I would wait to assess Antonio’s injury before giving Lingard the armband.

Bruno Fernandes – it’s hard not to add this man in any captaincy articles, especially when he has a record of 29 goals involvements this season. Bruno got himself an assist last GW & also created more chances than any other player against Brighton (4). United will be looking for retaliation against Jose’s men, after losing 6-1 at Old Trafford (it was Bruno scoring United’s goal of course). He would be once again a reliable shout for the armband – he’s United’s main man, takes set pieces, is on pens & is guaranteed to start.

Kevin De Bruyne – how did he not get a big haul last week! He may have got zero goals & zero assists but he was the best man on the pitch. Man City are playing Leeds United on Saturday (12:30), who currently this season against the top 5 teams have conceded 19 goals, keeping just one clean sheet in those eight matches & have conceded three or more goals 30% of the time. Only Southampton have conceded more goals than Leeds’ 30 at home. But it’s the Pep’s Roulette which gets in the way; KDB played a full 90 mins on Tuesday night making him a risk to start. If we can be 100% sure he’ll start, De Bruyne is a great captain pick.

Which fixtures should be targeted?

The Whipping Boys! These are the underlying stats in the last 4 GWS’s 📊

West Brom vs Southampton (Mon 6:00 pm)

We start with the Baggies who pulled off a 5-2 win against Chelsea last week, a surprising win to say the least! But there is no surprise that this Sam Allardyce team has improved defensively: in the last 6 GWs they sit 2nd behind Man United for Goals Conceded (4), for xGC they’re in the middle of the table with 8.24 & have conceded 65 goal attempts which is 6th best. They are certainly not defensively looking like a relegation-threatened side, but on the attacking side is where they are lacking. Of course, West Brom did beat a very good side in Chelsea and put 5 past Mendy, but I see that as a one-off game & certainly don’t expect them to score 5 goals in every match!

Southampton also got themselves a good win last week by beating Burnley 3-2. Out of the two teams, Saints have the better-attacking potential: Danny Ings got himself back on the score sheet with a goal & also provided an assist, along with his teammate Nathan Redmond, who also provided the same returns. Another positive for Southampton is that West Brom has failed to score in six of their nine home league games (W1 D3 L5), which means big clean sheet potential for the Saint’s defence. I think Southampton will be too much for the Baggies.

West Ham vs Leicester United (Sun 2:05 pm)

Both teams go into this game with only 1 clean sheet between them in 6 GW’s, but despite this, both teams are reasonably solid at the back. It’s more the attacking potential that grabs my attention. Both have scored 11 goals in 5 GWs. West Ham has the highest Goal Conversion rate (18.3%)  with Leicester in 4th (15.4%). The Foxes have a higher Shots on Target Goal Conversion of 40.3% though, and Rodgers’ men are one of six teams who are yet to lose a Premier League match at the London stadium, with the Foxes unbeaten in their four matches there (W2 D2).

West Ham is looking to secure their first Premier League double over Leicester since the 1999-00 season under Harry Redknapp. Looking at the Hammers’ goalscoring stats, they have scored in 25 different Premier League matches this season, with only Man City finding the net in more games. Only Leeds (6) have scored more counter-attacking goals – 5 of these have come from Jesse Lingard since he joined in February. The two key players to watch out for are Lingard & Kelechi Iheanacho. Iheanacho has 5 goals in 5 games & Lingard since arriving at the London stadium in GW22 has got 5 goals & 4 assists. This should be a tasty match.

Sheffield United vs Arsenal (Sun 4:30pm)

It’s no surprise to anyone that Sheffield United are the team to target – let’s throw a few stats for the last 6 GWs on the table! The Blades have only kept 1 clean sheet which was in GW26 in their 1-0 win against Villa. They are 1st for Big Chances Conceded (24), 2nd for Shots in the Box Allowed (66) (that’s one behind Wolves), 2nd for Goals Conceded (12) & they have a very high xGC (14.50). Going forward for Sheffield isn’t so successful either: only 2 goals scored & one of them was an OG!

Let’s shine a little light for the Blades though: they are unbeaten in all four home Premier League matches against Arsenal (W2 D2), winning 1-0 in 2006/07 & 2019-20.

Arsenal have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 6, conceding 3 goals in each of their last 3 games. Despite unpredictable form this season, I think they will test the Sheffield United defence & we will see some goals going in.

My Conclusion:

Overall, GW31 isn’t an easy captain decision to make, there are a variety of different options to go for. Having broken down the stats for the players mentioned above, I’m still very unsure on who to captain. The first player who pops into my head is Harry Kane; he could be the safe pick out of the 6, especially since he’s a guaranteed starter, he’s on pens & has a very high XG (4.18) recently. But he’s up against Man United, who have a pretty good record against the top 6 teams which does put me off slightly.

Then we go to Bruno Fernandes, which again is a similar story to Kane: guaranteed to play, takes most of the set pieces & is on pens, but again this fixture doesn’t flatter me. I can see a boring game & a draw written all over.

Then we go to the obvious picks: Manchester City assets. Looking at Leeds’ record against the top 5 teams, it is tempting to captain KDB & risk it. We can’t ignore Leeds’ stats vs strong opposition: 19 goals conceded and keeping just one clean sheet. They should be the team to target this game week but the big question is… who starts??? KDB played a full 90 minutes on Tuesday night’s Champions League game & they play on Saturday lunchtime which should be enough rest time… but will Pep rest him for the second leg? All those doubts are too much for me, so for that reason, KDB doesn’t wear the armband.

Looking towards slightly differential options, Jota and Lingard. Both players have been incredible as of late. I would be more inclined to go for Jota for the statistics mentioned above. Lingard has been in brilliant form but Antonio’s injury is very concerning for his attacking output. Also, West Ham is up against Leicester who defensively looks good. Lingard will not get the armband.

The last one to mention then: Mohammed Salah. Since Salah scored last week, that’s going to keep many managers interested, especially the one’s who don’t own him. When looking at his Minutes Per Shot, Minutes Per Big Chance & Minutes Per Chance, I think these make him the best option out of all the Liverpool attackers. I also think they will be up for revenge after an embarrassing 7-2 defeat against Aston Villa early on in the season.

So step right up… Mohammed Salah! You’re my CAPTAIN!

Who’s Winning The Armband?

1️⃣ Salah

2️⃣ Jota

3️⃣ Kane

4️⃣ Bruno Fernandes

5️⃣ Lingard

6️⃣ Kevin De Bruyne

 

A big thank you to everyone who may read this article, I hope it helps you for GW31 & I wish you all the best.

Thank you.

 

 

GW30 – Who Will You Choose!?

Posted by: @FPL_D5L

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 30.

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Best Captain vs Decent Differentials

📌 Which Fixtures Should Be Targeted?

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band?

📌 Conclusion

Results of The Poll

Ok so as you can see out of Kane, Bamford & Bruno Fernandes, Kane is easily in the lead with 57% of the vote. As for the other comments, there are some interesting suggestions from the FPL Community. The Following stats will be sourced from @FFscout.

Who’s The Best Captain?

Kane vs Son

Underlying stats for the last 4 GW’s ⤵️

Fixture: vs NEW (a)

G: 4 ↔️ 0
A: 2 ↔️ 3
xG: 3.58 ↔️ 0.52
Shots in the Box: 10 ↔️ 3
Chances Created: 6 ↔️ 10
Big Chances Created: 2 ↔️ 6

Kane (£11.6m) leads the xG by some way as you can see & has a great case for the armband. He’s in super form; throughout the international break he’s scored 2 goals in 2 matches. Up against Newcastle (a),  Kane’s record against the Magpies is as follows: 11 matches played, W5, D1, L5, G5 & A1. This isn’t such a bad record, only one concern would be is his last goal against the Magpies was in the 14/15 season in a 1:3 win. Nevertheless, this is Kane in top form, as in the last 4 GWs he’s scored 4 goals & registered 2 assists, making him a worthy candidate.

Looking at Kane’s trusty teammate Son (£9.4m) who was carrying a hamstring injury before the break, we will find out more about his recovery when we hear Mourinho’s press conference. Looking at his stats against Kane, it is easy to ignore Son for the armband. His record against Newcastle is: 9 matches, W5, D1, L3, G2, A1. Not very appealing… but if you want to be a little risky & gain rank then Son could be your guy. He could be a great differential going into GW30 as his goal involvement rate is crazy high this season and we certainly can’t completely ignore him.

Raphinha vs Bamford

Underlying stats for the last 4 GW’s ⤵️

vs SHU

G: 1 ↔️ 1
A: 0 ↔️ 1
XG: 1.50 ↔️ 1.20
Shots in the Box: 8 ↔️ 7
CC: 11 ↔️ 3
BCC: 1 ↔️ 1

These are two players who have been mentioned a lot over the international break as they come up against a poor form SHU (H). Comparing the two, there isn’t a lot between them. Raphinha (£5.7m) is the most creative player in the Premier League in the last 5 GWs. In the last 5 GWs, he top’s for Key Passes (3.5), Big Chances (0.8) & xA (0.34) per game. Raphinha is creating many chances every GW & is heavily involved inside the box.

Bamford (£6.7m) I was very happy with his 22pts in GW29! I asked my wife a question 5 mins before the deadline: “Charlotte! Kane or Bamford captain?”  and thankfully I got the answer Bamford! So again for me, in GW30 he’s a great shout for the armband. Bamford scored in GW3 against SHU, getting 8pts in total, played a full 90 mins & I wouldn’t be surprised if he adds to his tally in this match. In the last 6 appearance’s Bamford has scored 2 goals, created 2 Big Chances, 5 Big Chances, & a decent 35 Penalty Touches. In my opinion good stats going into this weeks game. He’s fully rested after not being picked for the England squad, so I’m sure he’s ready to pounce on a poor SHU team. Only one negative for Bamford, he’s shooting less per 90 (2.5) & has a lower XG per 90 (0.33) than earlier in the season.

Underlying stats for the last 4 GW’s ⤵️

vs BHA & vs FUL

G: 1 ↔️ 0
A: 0 ↔️ 2
XG: 1.26 ↔️ 0.16
Shot in the Box: 2 ↔️ 2
CC: 11 ↔️ 9
BCC: 0 ↔️ 2

Looking at these two, both players have decent attacking potential, but of course the favourite is the trusty Bruno Fernandes (£11.5) who is a wise pick for the armband. United’s talisman has been involved in 28 goals in the league already & that represents a number which no midfielder across Europe’s top five leagues can better. Bruno averages (7.2) points per game at Old Trafford in his last 14 home matches.

Jack Grealish (£7.5m). He’s back and ready to play after missing the last 6 GW’s with an injury, with managers expecting him to feature against Fulham (H). He is Villa’s talisman & with him back in the team he’s going to be a force to be reckoned with. He is heavily involved in every goal Villa score, and he has created the highest number of chances (75) and big chances (14) in the league. He has been one of the most consistent players across the whole season. A nice differential & could be a dark horse for the armband.

Which Fixtures To Target?

The Whipping Boys! These are the underlying stats in the last 6 GW’s 📊

Leeds vs Sheffield United

This game has the potential to be a thrilling game for Leeds as in the last 6 GWs SHU are second for the most goals conceded (13), 1st for big chances conceded (24), 1st for xGC (14.01) and 3rd for goal attempts conceded (94). In the past 5 GWs, SHU have only scored 1 goal which is the joint lowest alongside West Brom. There is strong clean sheet potential for Leeds and you would fancy Leeds to score big against one of the worst defenses in the league. Leeds have won 2 of their last 3 league games against the Blades, having only won once in the 11 games before that (D3 L6).

Newcastle vs Tottenham

These are the underlying stats for the Newcastle’s last 6 GWs: xGC (8.86), 3rd highest for Goals Conceded (10) & in the top 10 for Big Chances Conceded (13). For Kane, Son or Bale owners, this is a tasty fixture to target. Newcastle have lost five of their last six Premier League home games against Spurs (W1), more than they lost in their previous 26 games against them in top-flight (W13, D9 & L4). Tottenham have won their last three Premier League games against Newcastle, ever since a 1-5 loss on the final day of the 15/16 season.

Chelsea vs West Brom

In the last 6 GWs, WBA have an xGC (6.60) to Chelsea’s xGC (2.56); a big difference between the two. However, WBA have only conceded 3 goals in their last 6 matches, which is the 3rd best in the league. Therefore, this game might not be that thrilling. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last seven matches against West Brom (W5 D2) and the Baggies are winless in their last 15 away matches against Chelsea (D3 L12) (the last time they won an away game vs Chelsea was in 1978!). I’m going for a clean sheet for Chelsea, bringing my attention to the likes of Mendy, Rudiger & Azpilicueta.

Who’s Winning The Arm Band?

1️⃣ Kane ©️

2️⃣ Raphinha

3️⃣ Bamford

4️⃣ Bruno Fernandes

5️⃣ Grealish

Conclusion

Okay! I think Harry Kane will be the ‘effective ownership pick’ once again, but regardless of effective ownership he is justified as the first choice for captain. He’s in brilliant form and facing an average Newcastle defense. In 2nd & 3rd place are Raphinha & Bamford, both up against a very poor defense who are leaking goals; I like these boys. As it stands, Bamford is my captain, with Raphinha knocking on the door (I may ask the wife which to pick again!). Bruno’s 4th place is reasonable and interesting. We know how reliable he can be & if the 1st, 2nd & 3rd picks blank then there’s some decent rank to be gained from a Bruno captaincy.

There are some players we haven’t mentioned yet who deserve a mention and the comments on my poll were very interesting. We had the Chelsea assets mentioned by @FPLCasuals; he’s looking at Alonso which isn’t such a bad shout if he starts, I’ve never captained a defender but I must admit this season has proven Captaining defenders isn’t such a bad shout, especially for the likes of Man City & Chelsea’s excellent defensive record this season. @Bez_FPL is looking at Mount, a nice differential & @FPL_Levy says he is going for Jack Harrison! Nice one. Many comments mentioned was Kane, Raphinha & Chelsea’s defense, mixed with Attackers such as Mount & Havertz. Good luck to you guys!

We can’t forget KDB; he’s had a good international break & City continue with their incredible dominance, making him a good punt for sure. I also like DCL as an outsider; his stats aren’t great but he is up against Crystal Palace side who in their last 6 matches have an xGC of 9.34, & kept 3 clean sheets. I’m sure he’ll get at least one decent chance.

So there you have it. I hope this article helps! I haven’t made my mind up yet on my Captain pick but it’s definitely going to be one of the Leeds boys.

Good luck with GW30!