Tutorials

Gameweek 3 – Key Fixtures To Target

Key Fixtures To Target In Gameweek 3

Hi all, today I will be diving into the key fixtures for Gameweek 3. In this article you can expect:

  • Key fixtures
  • Best FPL picks
  • Differentials
  • Fixture analysis & score predictions

So let’s look at the first fixture to target:


Tottenham Hotspur v Watford

Prediction: Tottenham 2-1 Watford

Key FPL assets:
  • Dele Alli (£6.5) – 1.4%
  • Heung Min Son (£10.0) – 23.7%
Differentials:
  • Dele Alli (£6.5) – 1.4%
  • Lucas Moura (£6.5) – 1.4%

Fixture analysis:

A proven Premier League side vs a newly promoted Watford, the phrase alone wets the lips of many Fantasy Premier League managers. Historically Spurs do not have a very successful record against Watford.

The last 5 encounters have looked like this:

05/09/20 Watford 2-1 Spurs

18/01/20 Watford 0-0 Spurs

19/10/19 Spurs 1-1 Watford

30/01/19 Spurs 2-1 Watford

26/09/18 Spurs 2-2 Watford

Usually, these are low scoring games which would typically mean that FPL points are not always guaranteed. However, in the two fixtures prior Harry Kane wasn’t present meaning Spurs were naturally not at their best going forward. He should be back for the fixture as at the time of writing this article he was trying again after missing five days of training.

In my opinion, I think Spurs will look to play to their strengths, which is utilising quick counter-attacks with the likes of Son, Moura and Bergwijn (who seems to be in favour under Nuno). Spurs tend to soak up pressure and look to then get the ball to Harry Kane who has in recent times found himself dropping deeper to pick up the ball and then look to find the quicker wingers.

My prediction is based on Spurs just having too much everything on the counter-attack. Yes, Watford had a very good defensive record in the Championship last season having an xGc of 0.7 per 90 mins, however, I’m sure every team that gets promoted season after season boasts a good defensive record in the Championship, it’s a must-have ingredient of a title-winning cocktail, for any team in any league.

Son seems to be in great form and playing with a little confidence, on his own can win this game for Spurs. Dele seems to be in favour as well and I think he is only going to compliment the likes of Kane and Son this season.


Norwich v Leicester

Prediction: Norwich 1-3 Leicester

Key FPL assets:
  • Jamie Vardy (£10.5) – 16.3%
  • Harvey Barnes (£7.0) – 11.9%
Differentials:
  • James Maddison (£7.0) – 8.6%
  • Ricardo Pereira  (£5.5) – 5.5%

Fixture analysis:

Leicester is going to want to bounce back after a really poor performance against West Ham. The red card didn’t help however if you watched the game you’ll know West Ham were in the ascendancy. Marrying together the fact Leicester will want to bounce back and Norwich getting heavily beaten by Man City, I can only see another high scoring game in the away teams favour.

Brendan Rogers side will not want to give up too much ground this early in the season. They are used to being chased as in previous seasons they have usually been sat in the top 4 for a very long time, only to miss outright at the end.

Leicester is known for intricate play through the midfield, they can play narrow or wide expansive football meaning they have many strings to their bow when it comes to winning football matches. I can see Iheanacho starting this game and they will probably start with two up front as they have lacked that cutting edge in front of goal.


West Ham v Crystal Palace

Prediction: 3-0 West Ham

Key FPL Assets:

  • Michail Antonio (£7.5) – 38.5%
  • Said Benrahma (£6.2) – 21.5%

Differentials:

  • Jarrod Bowen (£6.5) – 1.2%
  • Pablo Fornals (£6.0) – 0.7%

This fixture certainly has the writing on the wall for Crystal Palace. The momentum West Ham have right now is scary and they are playing some brilliant football. Likely to add Jesse Lingard to the mix will only bolster West Hams attacking threat.

West Ham will look to play on the counter-attack I think we all know they have one of the quickest, slickest and sexiest counter-attacks in the Premier League, they commit men forward and are very hard to deal with. On the other hand, they can play some really exciting football when they have the ball. Declan Rice tends to control the tempo and find the wide wing backs (Cresswell & Coufal) who both have very tempting balls into the box for Antonio to get on the end of.

I just don’t think Palace have the Midfield to cause West Ham any problems, they have looked very blunt upfront and this is why West Ham v Crystal Palace is the standout fixture to target this week.