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Who’s The Best Captain For Gameweek 32?

Who Will You Choose⁉️

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 32 (GW32).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Who Are The Top Performers (Stats Table)

📌 Premium & Differential’s

📌 My Conclusion

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

 

Results of the Poll:

First of all, 82% is extraordinary for a poll percentage, I might as well just stop here as we know who will be the clear favourite for this Gameweek. But nevertheless, let’s explore some possibilities for the other candidates.

The following stats will be sourced from @FFscout.

Who Are The Top Performers?

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

The table above you is an attacking stats table I like to choose from when I’m choosing my captaincy picks. If I narrow it down to 2 stats, I particularly look out for shots on target and shots in the box. The more shots on target you see in a player, the higher the quality of a player’s shooting ability & accuracy in front of goal.

Premiums:

Harry Kane: £11.7m

Fixtures: Southampton (H) & Everton (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 3.37
  • Goals: 3
  • Shots Inside The Box: 9
  • Assist: 0
  • Chances Created: 0
  • Big Chances: 4

We start off with the main man himself Harry Kane, who clearly will have the most EO for this game week & I’m definitely not going to talk you out of him in this article. But what I am going to do is write why we should captain Kane.

I have heard some mumblings about Spurs not doing so well against Man United in Gameweek 31 & therefore doubting captaining Kane due to their poor performance. However, I need to remind you guys, Man United have a really good record against the top 6 teams, so don’t let that game put you off.

Spurs are playing Southampton at home, let me throw in some stats: In the last 6 games, the Saints sit 3rd for Big Chances Conceded (18), Top 6 for xGC (9.78), & 2nd for Goals Conceded (13). Looking at these poor defensive stats it’s very encouraging from an attacking point of view for Harry Kane. Everton are looking slightly better defensively, they sit bottom half of the stats table for Goals Conceded (10), bottom 6th for xG Conceded (6.73) & sit in the bottom 5 for Goals Conceded (5). Everton will be the trickier team out of two teams & the stats proves that.

So if we take a look at Kane’s attacking stats, I’m going to introduce you to more favourable stats that I like to choose when I look for my captain. In the last 6 matches, he’s joint second for chances in the box, 7 Big Chances which is joint best & 11 shots on target (also joint best in the league). We also need to mention his goal involvement; Harry Kane has 32 goal involvements this season, Son 23, which makes them both extremely good FPL options. I would strongly recommend owning them. Kane is clearly a very strong candidate & will be hard to match.

Son Heung-min: £9.4m

Southampton (H) & Everton (A)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 0.75
  • Goals: 1
  • Mins Per Goal Attempt In Box: 48.8
  • Assist: 1
  • Chances Created: 4
  • Big Chances: 2

Now we’ve cleared up the clear favourite, I’m now going to add the second most voted player; Son (12%). Worthy for the captaincy? Well, compared to Kane he doesn’t have as much attacking potential as we would like him to have. Son’s creative ability has become more his game this season than goals: in the last 6 matches he has (4) chances created to Kane’s (0), but that doesn’t strike me as the go to stat. I’m going to show you some comparisons between them both.

Kane & Son

Shot’s in the box: 9 ↔️ 5

Shots on Target: 7 ↔️ 3

Goal Attempts: 17 ↔️ 6

As my go to stats, this show’s Kane has far more attacking potential than Son. I would Say Son is the creator not the scorer, so that dents his chances for the armband. I do think if you need play aggressively to gain rank, Son is a good differential Captain.

Bruno Fernandes: £11.6m

Burnley (h)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 1.56
  • Goals: 1
  • Mins Per Goal Attempt In Box: 119.3
  • Assist: 1
  • Chances Created: 11
  • Big Chances: 3

Now we go to the 3rd most voted (3%), Bruno Fernandes. I think its fair to say Bruno Fernandes is running out of steam slightly & to be honest I’m not surprised considering how long he has performed so strongly in FPL since joining United last year in January. It just shows that he is actually human after all. Bruno is heading to Burnley and on a defensive note I will put out some stats on the table: In the last 4 matches Burnley are in the top 4 for Big Chances Conceded (13), top 6 for Goals Conceded (7) & in the top 5 for xG Conceded (7.52). I think Bruno has a good chance of an attacking return in this match.

Taking a look at Bruno’s attacking stats he only has (1) assist in the last 4, which isn’t great. What I do like to see is his Shots on Target (7); that is comparable to Kane, Lingard & Iheanacho. As you can see Bruno is much of a distance shooter as he has (3) Shots In The Box, compared to the like’s of Kane (9), Lingard (10) & Iheanacho (10), which again put’s him down as the non favourite compared to the others.

Of course, we have to note down that Bruno is on penalties, which is good as if he scores he inevitably gets at least 10pts. But if you compare that to Kane, he’s 1) on a Double Game week, & 2) his attacking potential is far greater. Bruno is a brilliant player and playing against Burnley is a tasty fixture, but he will not be my captain this week.

Differentials

Jesse Lingard & Kelechi Iheanacho:

Fixtures: Newcastle (A) & West Brom (H)

Underlying attacking stats compared in the last 4 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

  • XG: 2.35 ↔️ 2.75
  • Goals: 5 ↔️ 6
  • Mins Per Goal Attempts: 35.7 ↔️ 34.1
  • Assist: 2 ↔️ 0
  • Chances Created: 4 ↔️ 6
  • Big Chances: 5 ↔️ 4

We now come to the interesting part, the other choices of the poll with (3%) of the vote. Jesse Lingard! A worthy differential captain as he can’t stop scoring right now, with 6 goals in 4 games. He is also playing Newcastle (A) which is a nice fixture to target. I did mention in my last article whether Lingard would play as well without Antonio due to him having no shots after Antonio came off in the 1st half. Obviously I was wrong as he scored 2 goals against Leicester.

Let’s run through Jesse’s last 6 matches. He’s joint second in the whole league for Shots on Target, he also has had (5) Big Chances which is joint 3rd highest in the whole league. Surprisingly Lingard’s xG doesn’t match up compared to most of the players above but he still provides a decent amount of shots on goal & his chances compared to those above are pretty good too. If Spurs weren’t playing a double game week then he would be most likely my captain this week.

Iheanacho has also been in top form recently. Scoring 6 goals in 6 games, they have very similar xG: Iheanacho (2.75) and Lingard (2.35). Iheanacho’s other stats are similar to Lingard: Shots on Target 8 ↔️ 8, Shots Inside the Box 10 ↔️ 10 & Big Chances Total 4 ↔️ 5. You can see clearly the stats are great for both players. Leicester are playing against West Brom, who I would say are one of the best defences in the league at the moment. So again, compared to the mighty Kane, these boys just can’t compete and for the obvious reasons both will not have the armband. After Gameweek 32 they are very much up for consideration, but just not this week.

My Conclusion:

We finish off with my conclusion. I think it goes without question who my captaincy pick will be in Gameweek 32. When it comes to stats, form and comparing the other players that we have previously mentioned, the choice is obvious. This man has a double game week, is the top goalscorer in the Premier League and has 34 goal involvements this season. There’s only one man we can choose and that is Harry Kane. So yes, he is my captain for this week. The other candidates would all likely be great options if he didn’t have the double gameweek. You don’t have to Captain Kane, but you have to consider what could happen if you don’t. We know his effective ownership is very high and he could really cause some damage to your rank. On the flip side, if he doesn’t get any points and you go for a differential perhaps, you could potentially gain a bit of rank here. I’m pretty confident Kane will bag quite a few points in his double Gameweek, and in all honestly, I couldn’t justify captaining anyone else.

Well, I hope you’ve enjoyed reading this article, I wish you all the best for your Gameweek. Please give me a follow @FPL_D5L. Below you will see who’s winning the armband, all the order for all the candidates we have spoken about from 1 to 5

Have a great weekend!

Who’s Winning The Armband?

1️⃣ Kane

2️⃣ Son

3️⃣ Lingard

4️⃣ Iheanacho

5️⃣ Bruno Fernandes

Differential Picks For Gameweek 32

Juicy Differentials For Gameweek 32:

 

@FPLCasuals

 

Today I will be looking at some interesting differentials for Gameweek 32! I wanted to look at some players that are maybe getting overlooked at the moment & also some that may be well known, however not highly owned. I have chosen five players to look at, all with nice fixtures for Gameweek 32 (and beyond if you were planning to keep them long term).

I enjoy looking into differentials personally, as I feel my rank needs improving and I like the idea of jumping on a player before they are doing well and become heavily owned. I feel the fixture swing that happened last week gives players like me a chance to gain rank by moving away from the “template” team by transferring in some players with lower ownership.

Lastly, I’d like to note that these figures & stats are all taken from the last 4 Gameweeks. Now, let’s jump into some of the picks!

Lucas Moura: £6.6 – 2.3%

Fixtures: Everton & Southampton

First off ladies and gents, I present to you Lucas Moura. Now, some of you may be thinking: “I’ve already got Kane & Son’. Managers with those two might be right to not be looking at Lucas Moura as an option, but for those who are priced out of Kane & Son then this could be a great budget option for you to consider. Let’s look at some of his numbers:

Last Four Gameweeks:

  • xG:0.06 xA: 0.52 
  • 3 Assists 
  • 47 Mins per chance created
  • 7 chances created (2 big chances)
  • 85 touches in final 3rd of the pitch (6 in the box)
  • 9 Corners taken

One of the main reasons I wanted to put Lucas Moura in here is because a Tottenham player is the obvious choice considering their Double Gameweek coming up. You can also look at a defender, however, we’ve seen that the Tottenham defence can be fairly unreliable. Tottenham have kept only 10 clean sheets all season and when you think about the manager they have (Jose Mourinho) who in the past has been far more defensively capable, you start to wonder if the Tottenham defence is a bit stale at the moment.

In conclusion, Lucas Moura does pass the eye test for me and is usually heavily involved/influential when Tottenham play well. I feel if you’re slightly priced out of transferring in Son, then Moura is a good alternative to cover the Double Gameweek. I’m not saying Lucas Moura can cover Son’s score, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he bagged at least an assist.

Jarrod Bowen: £5.9 – 2.1%

Fixture: Newcastle

First of all, I would just like to bring to your attention that Jarrod Bowen’s xGI over the last four Gameweeks is higher than Jesse Lingard, Marcus Rashford & Diogo Jota. He has been a real dark horse and has definitely flown under the radar of Fantasy Premier League Managers. Let’s have a look at some numbers for Mr Bowen.

Last Four Gameweeks:

  • xG: 1.08 xA: 0.29
  • 3 Goals & 1 Assist
  • 3 Big chances created
  • 8 Goal Attempts
  • 2 Winning Goals
  • 11 Penalty area touches

I really like the idea of doubling up on the West Ham attack. Even without Antonio, they have scored the most goals (9) in the last 4 Gameweeks (this is the most in the league). However, as a caveat to that, West Ham has also conceded 8 goals so I do not really want to go near the defence; we have seen in recent games they keep letting in goals from winning positions.

In conclusion, I think Jarrod Bowen might be my pick of the bunch, especially with the fixtures West Ham have. They probably have the best fixtures of any team and also seem to be flying really high of late. They have been super entertaining to watch and if you’re a little bit like me and are looking to gain rank quickly in the final stretch; strongly consider Jarrod Bowen!

Youri Tielemans: £6.4 – 3.6%

Fixture: West Brom

Youri Tielemans has really impressed me and I’m sure a lot of other people this year. He came to the Premier League with a reputation of a young, super talented player for the future. He came with big boots to fill and at such a young age I wasn’t sure how he would look playing week in week out. However, he has proved that he can certainly hold his own. Let’s have a look at his stats.

Last Four Gameweeks:

  • xG: 0.26 xA: 0.99
  • 1 Assist
  • 10 Chances created
  • 5 Goal attempts (2 in the box)
  • 36 Minute per chance created
  • 7 Penalty area touches
  • 83 Touches in final 3rd

Referring back to a point I made in the Jarrod Bowen discussion, Leicester has great fixtures; both for their defence and attack. In the next four Gameweeks, they play WBA, CRY, SOU & NEW. Another little link between WHU & LEI are that in the last few games they have both scored a lot of goals. In the last four Gameweeks, Leicester rank fourth for goals scored. This again is another reason why the double attack does look to make sense. The 36 mins per chance created stat really does resonate with me the most considering they have probably the most prolific goal scorer in the league right now, meaning hopefully more assists are on the cards.

In conclusion, I feel Tielemans does warrant a serious consideration; even a triple attack might be an option as a super differential tactic, especially when they are scoring on average 1.8 goals per game this season. Watching Tielemans is truly a joy, he has it all… He can run with the ball, beat a man, loves a tackle, picks a great pass & goes box to box.

Alexandre Lacazette: £8.3 – 7.9%

Fixture: Fulham

Alexandre Lacazette is one of those players that you ask me if I wanted him five or six Gameweeks ago, I’d have probably laughed in your face. However, he has been undeniably good over the last few Gameweeks. Arsenal’s form has been fairly average this year but they do still provide entertainment going forward with the likes of Emile Smith-Rowe & Bukayo Saka (even with those two injured and not getting as many minutes they are still managing to score goals). Let’s have a look at some stats.

Last Four Gameweeks:

  • xG: 2.86 xA:0.72
  • 4 Goals & 1 Assist
  • 13 Goal attempts
  • 5 Big chances & Scored 4 of them
  • 6 Shots on target
  • 18 Penalty area touches

Alexandre Lacazette has the second best xG in the league over the last four Gameweeks and is second for goals scored only behind Iheanacho. Another string to the bow of Lacazette is that he is on penalties which is always a nice bonus. If an FPL asset isn’t having a good day at the office (Bruno’s made a season off of this).

In conclusion, I am considering Lacazette as a replacement for Sergio Aguero due to him not looking like he is going to be fit enough to be a strong player in my team. Lacazette does make sense and with FUL, NEW & WBA in the next four, I think he is a sensible option moving forward. However, with his form + Arsenal’s fixtures, he probably won’t be a differential for long.

Nelson Semedo: £5.2 – 2.7%

Fixture: Sheffield United

Eh, where do I start with this guy… I had him all the way up to the deadline in my wildcard team and at the last minute transferred him out to bank funds for the easy transfer of Ferran Torres > Son. He then goes and bags all three bonus points in the next game! However, I had been singing his praises and having watched a lot of La Liga before I knew what Wolves were getting when they signed Semedo. Let’s have a look at some numbers.

Last Four Gameweeks:

  • xG: 0.13 xA: 0.30
  • 16 Tackles (3rd of any Premier League defender)
  • 2 Clean sheets
  • 4 Chances created
  • 2 Goal attempts in the box
  • 19 Recoveries & 12 Clearances
  • 5 Penalty area touches

Nelson Semedo isn’t on my radar anymore due to the fact I have already got Coady, but as I mentioned before I had strongly considered him on my wildcard. In the last few games, I have seen him getting forward more and almost playing as a RW for Wolves due to their injury worries further up the pitch. Semedo has got a better xA than Andy Robertson, Ricardo Pereria & Aaron Cresswell in the last four Gameweeks.

In conclusion, one thing that I took into account when bringing in a Wolves defender is that they are usually a low scoring team and are involved in low scoring games. This means a lot of the bonus points will go to the goalkeeper and defenders. With SHU, BUR, WBA & BHA in the next four, I anticipate at the very least one clean sheet within this four game period.

Thank you for reading and I hope you find this useful!

Follow me on Twitter: @FPLCasuals

 

“Double” Gameweek 32

By @FPL_Will

Brace yourselves for this one… it’s Double Gameweek 32!

In this mammoth Gameweek, there are now TEN fixtures to contend with – hang on, isn’t this just a normal week? No! It is easy to miss the fact that Crystal Palace don’t have a fixture this week, since any sane manager won’t have had any of their players since Mitchell was dropped in GW7.

The FPL overlords have decided that since Palace have become irrelevant in FPL, they can have the week off. Instead, they’ve allowed Spurs to play twice this week to give people a chance to triple captain Harry Kane.

This will be a short article since the only team we have to look at is Spurs, made shorter still since nearly all of their players are completely useless for FPL. Kane (206 points), Son (187) and Lloris (123) are the only players who have managed to get past 100 points so far this season, with the rest let down by rotation, injuries and ineptitude.

 

The Fixtures

In GW32, Spurs face Everton away on Friday 16th followed by Southampton on Wednesday 21st. It’s worth noting that they will also be losing to playing Man City on Sunday 25th in the EFL Cup Final, which might impact playing time for some of their key players in FPL. Spurs players are unlikely to get many points in GW33 as they don’t have a fixture.

 

Spurs’ Defence

This section could just be a giant flashing ‘NO’, but I’m not that lazy and I’ll at least explain why I don’t recommend any of these players.

Starts in the last 5 GWs:

(Green = Started, Orange = 0-59 Minutes, Red = Didn’t Feature, * Injured)

Just what every FPL manager loves, inconsistent line-ups! If you were to throw your hat into this unappealing ring, it seems that Lloris and Reguilón are your only ‘safe’ bets, with both starting all of Spurs’ last five fixtures.

Spurs have conceded 8 goals in 5 matches, almost exactly in line with their xGC of 7.69. This puts them in 10th for xGC per 90 minutes, which is what many like to call bang average. Per 90 minutes played, they’re mid-table for shots conceded (12), shots in the box conceded (7.8), shots from set pieces conceded (0.6), and are 5th worst for big chances conceded per 90 with 2.4. All of these mediocre stats have resulted in 1 clean sheet in 5 games, despite playing Newcastle and Palace in that run.


Lloris has made 10 saves in these 5 games, with 0 bonus points to show for any of it. It wouldn’t appear he has a particularly high ceiling for points even in this Double Gameweek. In fact, he’s only received 2 bonus points since GW14.

Reguilón is the other candidate, who has registered 0 goals and 4 assists in 20 appearances this season, with 3 of those assists coming between GW5-18. At 5.5m you’d be expecting more bang for your buck with Reguilón, but in his last 5 games, he’s only had 2 shots (xG 0.11) and only completed 4 key passes (xA 0.26).

Their opponents Southampton and Everton are 4th and 14th for recent xG, respectively, and although Everton aren’t being very clinical, they have still scored in 4 of their last 6 games. Saints are producing some exciting scorelines and have scored 8 goals in their last 6 games, which includes putting 3 past Burnley and 2 past Man City. They blanked vs West Brom on Monday night, but with an xG of 1.5 they were unlucky not to score one or two in this game as well.

I won’t be buying any Spurs defenders as there are other defenders with only one fixture that are just as good an option, and I’d rather use my transfers elsewhere.

In summary:

  • Spurs’ defensive stats are average and they could easily concede in both of these games.
  • You don’t know who will play both games unless it’s Lloris and (possibly) Reguilón.
  • You’ll be stuck with them for their blank in GW33 and Spurs’ average fixtures beyond that.

 

Spurs’ Attack

Some people would be tempted to just put ‘Kane, great. Son, good.’ and finish the article. I am indeed tempted, but I have resisted that urge and will chuck a few stats at you instead.

The Star Pick: Harry Kane (11.7)

The most goals in the league? Kane (19). The most assists? Kane (13). Convincing you to get Kane should be as easy as selling dog treats to a Labrador. These stats aren’t even skewed by a mad rush at the start of the season; he’s got 6 goals and 2 assists in his last 8 games, consistently returning points even when Spurs are trying really, really hard not to win.

Kane’s record vs Southampton and Everton:

Just the 28 G/A in 28 matches for him.

Earlier this season, he scored 1 and assisted 4 in the mauling of Southampton, scored vs Everton off the bench in the FA Cup and blanked in the opening fixture against Everton.

If you have your Triple Captain chip left, Kane is maybe the last great Double Gameweek option this season, especially since he can haul in games where Spurs don’t even play well.

No one shoots more, has a higher xG or takes better penalties and if you can afford him, Kane really should be a no-brainer for your team this week. Chuck the captaincy on him as well, that’s an order.

And The Rest:

Gareth Bale (9.2) has managed 10 minutes in the last 3 GWs, with this extended spell on the bench suspiciously coinciding with his comments that suggested Spurs was just a training camp before he could return to Madrid. It’s not worth having someone in your team that might not play either match (let alone both of them) and he could be a waste of 9.2m in your team for future Gameweeks too. AVOID.

Lucas Moura (6.6) has started all of their last 5 games, scoring 0 goals and registering 3 assists (from an xA of 1.05). He’s actually mustered a pathetic, measly, abominable ONE shot in those 5 games which wasn’t even on target. AVOID.

Vinicius (6.9) didn’t feature at all vs Man United and apart from his 45, 90 and 10 minutes vs Newcastle, Aston Villa and Chelsea, respectively, he’s not played since GW22. AVOID.

The only other person worth mentioning is Son (9.4), who I personally hate owning in Fantasy since he seems to often only have one shot on target per game (in reality it’s 0.97 shots on target per game this season). But, for this Double Gameweek, it is not the stupidest decision to have him on your team. He scored against United and pre-injury had managed 3 assists in 3 games vs Palace, Fulham and Burnley. 14 goals and 9 assists this season are great returns from Son and if it’s not painful to do so, I would put him in your team. I do think that there’s a chance he doesn’t score in either game though, so I wouldn’t take a hit to get him in (especially since he blanks the following week). You never know though, he might score 4 goals against Southampton (again).

In summary:

  • Kane, great. Son, good.

Thank you and good luck!

Will