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FPL Final Gameweek 38 – The Complete Guide

Here we are with the last Gameweek overview of the season; Gameweek 38. It’s emotional times but we will do our best to get through this. The Gameweek 38 deadline is on Sunday 23rd of May at 14:30. Like every year, all games kick off at the same time (4pm GMT).

Another question on peoples mind is, who will win the Premier League Golden Boot 2020/21? With both Harry Kane and Mo Salah on 22 goals, surely these two will be fighting for the award right?

If you are looking to boost your overall rank or finish your mini-league on a high, we have you covered with this week’s articles.

Like we do every Gameweek, we will be providing you with the following helpful articles to help you with your Gameweek planning:

  • The FPL Way XV – Scout Picks
  • Differential Picks
  • Scout Picks
  • Captaincy Pick

Here are the Fixtures for GW38

The FPL Way XV – Who Are The Best FPL Players To Own For GW38?

Here are our Scout Picks for Gameweek 38 with a team budget of only 100 million. This week’s teams value comes out at 99.5 million.

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The FPL Way Value Picks – Which budget players should we consider for GW38?

Here are recommend budget/value picks for GW38. Whether you need to free some funds for your team or even add some potential differentials, then this is the thread for you. This weeks budget team comes out at a record low 75.0 million.

Read more

 

The FPL Way Differential Picks – Fancy a differential for Gameweek 38?

In this article, we discuss 5 differentials you should consider to end your season with. Planning ahead is essential, maybe one of these players could be the one you are looking for?

Read more

 

Who is the best Captain for GW38?

We’ve explored the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 38. Check out the article below, it certainly could help you come to your final decision! We’ve analysed the best captaincy picks for Captain Sensible, Captain Differential, and Captain Huge Cahonas!

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As always, we wish you the best of luck with GW38, and we hope you found these articles useful to help you achieve those final green arrows and end on a high!

If you need help with your team, feel free to drop a comment below, we love to help!

How will you be approaching this Gameweek? Team Sensible or Team Rogue? Let us know.

Who’s The Best Captain For Gameweek 38?

Who’s The Best Captain for Blank Game week 38?

This article was written by @FPL_D5l (Daniel Lison)

We are coming to the last game of the season, & what a season it has been. As always I’m going to be exploring the best options for captaincy for Gameweek 38 (GW38).

📌 Results of the Poll

📌 Captain Sensible

📌 Captain Differential

📌 Captain Huge Cahonas

📌 Who’s Winning The Arm Band

Results of the Poll:

Captain Sensible:

Kane vs Salah

Leicester (A) & Crystal Palace (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 6 matches (comparing the two teams):

We start off with Captain Sensible, two very well known player’s who have been in remarkable form throughout the whole campaign. Harry Kane & Mohamed Salah has scored 22 goals each, both in the race for the Golden Boot. It’s going to be one big battle for the race & arguable they both deserve it.

Let’s start off with Harry Kane (£11.9m), Gameweek 37 matchup against Aston Villa ended with a 2-1 defeat. Sadly his team deserved to lose and they will need to regroup ahead of the final day. Kane will want to forget this game quickly, he only had 2 shot’s on goal which both were on target, other than that he had a very quiet game.

Moving on to the more positives factors, Tottenham is up against Leicester City & the good news is Harry Kane has scored 14 goals in 10 Premier League appearances against the Foxes, more than he has netted versus any other opponent in the competition.

Leicester have conceded 8 goals in the last 4 matches which put’s them 3rd worst in the league.

Kane picked up six goals in nine away matches since the turn of the year, averaging 5.7 points per game. The Englishmen also has 38 shots on the road at that time, while only Watkins has landed more (17-14).

Mo Salah (£12.8m) will be hoping that the power of the fan’s at Anfield will bring him to another golden boot. I wouldn’t disagree with you going for Salah & overall he’s probably the best captain for this Gameweek and I can imagine his effective ownership would be rather high. Liverpool took another step closer to a top-four finish with a 3-0 win over Burnley. Somehow Salah didn’t provide us with any returns during the game, he did get the most shots out of his teammates & his opponents with four attempts all being inside the box.

The Egyptian King has attacking returns in three straight home appearances and six of his last seven starts. Taking a look at his recent stats, everything but assist’s sits in the top 5 players in the league. He has had 6 big chances which put him 1st with (47) touches in the penalty box (2nd).

Salah was very bang-average a few weeks ago, but his creative stats have significantly improved. He now sits 2nd for xA (1.71, key passes (12) & big chances (3). In the last 4 matches Salah has 5 goals & 1 assist, that’s three more goals than Kane’s two.

As for shots inside the box, there’s no midfielder who has more than 17 shots in the box. Only Benteke with 21 who’s able to better that across all positions.

In the last 6 Gameweeks, Liverpool has scored 13 goals, more than any other side. They are also top for shots (116), shots on target (39) & big chances (23).

As you can see in the table above, Kane & Salah have very well & equal supportive shot’s inside the box, along with shots on target showing that they both have a strong eye for goal.

Palace has conceded 8 goals in the last 4 matches, & The Eagles are ranked 8th worst for xGC (5.13).

As you can see in the table above, Kane & Salah have very well & equal supportive shot’s inside the box, along with shots on target showing that they both have a strong eye for goal.

Captain Differential:

Mane

Crystal Palace (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 6 matches:

Mane (£11.7m) has become very consistent, he’s scored a goal in every single match against Crystal Palace. In the reserve fixture, he was on a goal and assist, then subbed off after 57 minutes.

Despite a poor campaign he has sharply improved his form, the Senegalese has assisted back to back games and is amongst the top six players for expected goal involvement which over the last six matches, suggest he has an attacking return in his locker against the suffering Palace defence.

Mane has very similar shots in the box to Salah & despite shooting at almost half the frequency, he has managed just one fewer big chance. Mane also has two big chances to Salah’s one, showing he’s been more clinical with the opportunity to score.

Palace is the third-worst side for GC (goal conceded) over the season. The Eagles have been a team to target the majority of the season. Liverpool finally gets their opportunity to face the home crowd, & they need a big win to be certain of a top-four finish.

Mane’s numbers have been producing very nicely, I believe he’s one of the best differential Captain picks this week.

Captain Huge Cahonas:

Antonio vs Bamford

Sheffield United (A) vs WBA (H)

Underlying attacking stats in the last 6 matches (games where he was out injured/rested are not included):

Underlying stats for the last 6 matches (comparing the two teams):

Antonio (£6.6m) scored a late winner in West Ham’s 3-1 win against West Brom. Antonio is getting a step closer to closing in on Di Canio’s Premier League goal record for the Hammers. Not bad for a player who started as a right-back & converted to a striker. His record at right-back wasn’t great, but as a centre forward, he’s picked up a goal and an assist at home to Southampton last season.

The forward has scored three goals in his last four games, Antonio has an appealing fixture this week playing Southampton. They have looked weak defensively &
have nothing to play for.

Antonio leads the league with xG (expected goals) over the last six & games and is second for xGI in that time. This will be his fifth attacking return in six matches & I’m sure he’ll be ready to face the fans at the London stadium.

West Ham has scored eight goals in the six Gameweeks & only Newcastle, Leicester (both 17), & Liverpool (23) have created more big chances than the Hammers (16).

Southampton has now conceded nine goals over the last six Gameweeks, keeping no clean sheets.

Patrick Bamford (£6.6m) got himself a double-figure return against Southampton in the midweek match. He’s now averaging 4.3 points per game week in the last 6 matches. The Englishman has recorded 5 big chances & is only ranked behind Kane, Adams (each 6) & Wood (7) amongst forwards.

None of his teammates can better his 11 shots in the box or his shots on target, he is now the most transferred in player this week.

Leeds have scored 10 goals over the last 6 Gameweeks & only Man City, Leicester (both 11), Newcastle, Spurs (both 12) & Liverpool (13) have found the back of the net more.

West Brom has conceded 14 goals over the last 6 Gameweeks; the most in the league. No side has allowed opponents more shots on target than the Baggies (50).

My Conclusion:

Well, there you have it FPL Managers, all five worthy candidates for the armband. Each has their reasons for selecting them as your captain. Salah & Kane for a sensible pick, a differential pick with Mane, & if you got huge cahonas then you could well go for Antonio or Bamford.

Who’s Winning the Armband? It has to go to Salah, but as I said above, there are lots of options to choose from. I am currently sat at 224k rank and wanting a nice boost in this final Gameweek. I’m torn between going with the differential pick or a pick that requires huge cahonas. I’ve not quite made up my mind yet but you’ll find out tomorrow afternoon.

Thank you for all your support this season, writing has been an experience for sure. I’m looking forward to next season with even bigger & better content.

Good Luck Everyone!

Who’s Winning The Armband:

1️⃣ Salah

2️⃣ Kane

3️⃣ Mane

4️⃣ Antonio

5️⃣ Bamford

The Final Differentials Article of the season! GW38

Gameweek 38 Differentials article, I feel I’ve saved the best until last.

Written by Aiden Smith (@FPLCasuals)

Welcome back, Ladies & Gents. I hope you are doing well, I have mixed feeling about this as it is the final Gamweek of my very first season within the Fantasy Premier League space. On one hand, I’m excited it is over, due to the slight balding on the top of my head whereas on the other its become a routine for me now.

For the final time this season, I will be highlighting some awesome differential picks for you to choose from. These will help you exceed your wildest dreams within your overall rank fantasy or help you champion your mini-league. As you may be aware stats will be taken from the last four games. Hope you enjoy it and good luck with your final Gameweek.

Nicolas Pepe: £7.6 – 1.7%

Fixture: Brighton (H)

I was speaking to someone on Twitter Spaces on deadline day last week & he asked if Pepe was a good shout. I really hope he decided to bring him in off the back of that performance vs CRY. I’ll be bringing Nicolas Pepe in this week as I feel he will be a great differential for the final Gameweek.

  • xG: 0.66 xA: 0.17
  • 3 Goals & 0 Assist
  • 3 Starts 1 Sub On
  • 19 Penalty area touches
  • 6 Goal attempts (6 in the box)
  • 2 chances created
  • 1 Big chance total (1 scored)
  • 126 Touches in the final third

I think against a Brighton team with nothing to play for could be the perfect cocktail for attacking returns. Brighton is notoriously tricky to unlock that’s why I think Pepe gets the nod, His flair and swagger down the right-hand side for Arsenal could be the key to unlocking the seagulls on the final day of the season.

One caveat I’m willing to admit in this analysis is that from Gameweek 19 onwards, Brighton has conceded the second-fewest goals in the league (15) on second to Chelsea. However, with nothing to play for and Arsenals dignity hanging in the balance, I think the reds will be too much for the blues on the final day of the season.

Roberto Firmino: £9.1 – 5%

Fixture: Crystal Palace (H)

I bet you never thought you’d see Bobby included in the differentials article, did you? The blend of fixture & fight for the top four is what has landed him in this write-up. In the last four matches, he seems to have found his shooting boots which have been locked away for 80% of the season.

  • xG: 1.23 xA: 0.30
  • 3 Goals & 1 Assist
  • 3 Starts 1 Sub on
  • 14 Penalty area touches
  • 8 Goal attempts (7 in the box)
  • 3 Big Chances (2 Socred 1 missed)
  • 34 Minutes per attempt
  • 7 Chances created 2 Thorugh balls & 3 Big Chances created
  • 74 Touches in the final third

With Crystal Palace on the horizon, I do feel he is a great pick for this week. Liverpool has started putting some tasty attacking football together so people are looking at the triple up & with Jota injured and very unlikely to feature if you cannot afford Mane or Salah then this is your next best pick.

Roy Hodgson is set to leave CRY at the end of the season and many of their players are out of contract. One last hurrah for old boy Roy + Players who will want to impress potential future employers could see Palace be more attacking and if that happens I can’t see any outcome, they will be picked apart by a hungry Liverpool side itching for Champions League football next season.

Chris Wood: £6.5 – 4.7%

Fixture: Sheffield United (A)

The big New Zealand powerhouse is making an appearance in the final article of the season from me. He has peaked at the perfect time for FPL managers that have had the stones to take the risk on him. The hat-trick sickened me to the stomach with jealousy I didn’t have the great idea the rest of you had.

  • xG: 1.89 xA: 0.25
  • 2 Goals & 0 Assist
  • 4 Starts
  • 19 Penalty area touches
  • 10 Goal attempts (7 in the box)
  • 32 Minutes per attempt
  • 4 Chances created
  • 79 Touches in the final third

I said it before, and ill say it again if we are not targeting Sheffield United this season what is the point. You may as well log out and delete your account. He has been cropping up in the right place at the right time meaning the Kiwi has really started to turn it on for Burnley toward the end of the season.

Sheffield United had conceded 34 goals since Gameweek 19 making them the fourth-worst defence in the league since the halfway point & at the other end of the pitch have only scored 10 goals making them the bluntest attack since Gameweek 19.

Rayan Ait Nouri: £5 – 0.2%

Fixture: Manchester United (H)

You’re probably sat there thinking “Have you gone mental Aiden, a Wolves defender?” Well, you’d be totally right I’ve lost the plot and given up this season therefore welcome to Differential Town. Hear me out once we have looked at some stats.

  • xG: 0.16 xA: 0.31
  • 0 Goals & 0 Assist
  • 9 Penalty area touches
  • 4 Goal attempts (2 in the box)
  • 7 chances created
  • 112 Touches in the final third
  • 45% tackle success rate
  • Loose Ball – Interceptions: 5 – Recoveries: 16 – Clearances: 5

I mean look at those stats? Not bad. Averaging a goal attempt each game and a staggering 7 chances created it’s a shame they don’t have a notable striker to finish these chances off.

To summarize I feel like Man Utd are going to rotate fairly heavily in this game due to the Europa League Final three days after this fixture. Both teams have nothing to play for so in my opinion, this could be a real snooze-fest hence why a punt on a Wolves doesn’t sound too bad after all.

Joe Willock: £4.8 – 2.9%

Fixture: Fulham (A)

Last but certainly not least we feature Joe Willock. He featured last week but not too much detail so I thought id give him more credit and go again considering he scored again last Gameweek.

  • xG: 2.22 xA: 0.11
  • 4 Goals & 0 Assist
  • 3 Starts
  • 15 Penalty area touches
  • 9 Goal attempts (8 in the box)
  • 2 chances created
  • 36 Touches in the final third
  • 30 Minutes per attempt

A recently relegated Fulham with a deflated Scott Parker, combine that with an “inform” Newcastle this could end badly for Scott Parker in my opinion. This season I’ve tried to find a good blend between form & fixtures and this meets that criteria nicely. I did want to go Allan Saint-Maximum however he is a slight doubt for this game.

The FPL Way XV Differential Squad.

Above is our differential picks for this Gameweek. Please keep in mind that this team isn’t essentially how we would go ahead with the Gameweek, it is more a bit of fun to point out some differential picks in certain positions that you could add to your team. We wanted to continue the theme as we have provided you with an FPL Way XV Scout Picks and the Value (budget) squad that we release each week.

I do really hope you enjoyed reading and digesting this article. Good luck in the upcoming Gameweek and hopefully if you decide to go with a pick included in this article that it provides you with a nice green arrow. If you do decide to transfer in one of these players let us know in the comments below and tell us which one went with and how it went.

 

The FPL Way Value Picks for GW38

Posted by: @FantasySilva

Here are The FPL Way Value Picks for Gameweek 38; the deadline for this one is on Sunday 23rd May at 14:30. Emotional times now as this will be the last of the value picks for this season.

Anyway, with the Value Picks, we basically pick a side of 15 players (all with a low budget) to help you with your transfers should you need to get a budget player into your squad. This weeks team comes out at only 75.0 million (all-time record). It’s the last week guys, and to be honest, looking at these picks, squad value doesn’t mean anything anymore and some of these guys could definitely be worth a punt depending on your overall rank or position in your mini-leagues.

 

The FPL Way XV – Who Are The Best Value FPL Players To Own For GW38?

We will be going through all the fixtures for our selected value picks and providing reasoning as to why these budget players could potentially prove to be better than some of the premium selections. That being, said, let’s get right into this…

Fulham vs Newcastle

For Fulham we have Alphonse Areola (4.5m) in net. Although it’s been a while since Fulham have kept a clean sheet, we know what they are capable of and with a generous home fixture to Newcastle, we can hope they finish their season a high before they return back to the Championship Division.

On the other side, we do have Joseph Willock (4.8m). His form recently has been superb and he now seems to be a regular starter for the club. With a goal in each game in their last fixture 3 fixtures, would you be surprised if he continued his form and bagged another in his last game?

Leeds vs West Brom

For Leeds we have Raphinha (5.5m) and Patrick Bamford (6.5m). Leeds have scored 9 goals in their last 3 fixtures with Raphinha providing 2 assists and Bamford providing 2 goals and an assist. These guys gel well together and we can expect this to be quite a high scoring game who else is more reliable to get on the score sheet for Leeds than these boys…

For West Brom we have selected Matheus Pereira (5.4m). What a hell of a season this Brazillian star has had, with 11 goals and 7 assists, you wouldn’t think he was part of a relegated club right? We’re not going to lie, we’d be surprised if this fella stays with the club when they return to the Championship division, but we know for sure he will want to end his season on an all-time high, that’s for sure!

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

Just the one player here with Nathaniel Phillips (4.1m). For a Liverpool defender at this price, how could you not have him? On top of this, he’s even scored a goal and provided an assist in the last 4 Gameweeks and has accumulated 25 points in that time. Averaging at 6.25 points per game, this guy was a really easy selection for the squad.

Sheffield Utd vs Burnley

We have two picks for Burnley in this weeks value picks with Matthew Lowton (4.4m) and Chris Wood (6.5m). Well, on paper, we can expect a clean sheet for Lowton facing the bottom of the league. Maybe even a cheeky assist since he’s provided 8 this season so far. Wood has had a great 4th quarter to the season and we’re pretty confident we will see some attacking returns from this man. We could even hope he repeats GW33 with his hatty where they faced Wolves away.

West Ham vs Southampton

For West Ham, we have gone for Vladimir Coufal (4.8m) and Tomas Soucek (5.2m). Honestly, we think West Ham have more to fight for here and we could well see a clean sheet. We all know what Soucek is capable of and hopefully, he will also provide some attacking returns. With 10 goals and 2 assists this season for Soucek, we can see this being increased after this match.

Leicester vs Spurs

Finally, our last pick in our starting XI is Kelechi Iheanacho (6.2m). You remember right? The guy that has been a dream player to have since GW26. Yes, the Leicester fixtures have not been great and playing Spurs isn’t exactly the greatest fixture. Well, this Nigerian star is something special and we really wouldn’t be surprised at all for some attacking returns from him in this fixture.

 

Bench Picks

This week, we won’t go through all the bench players individually, well to be fair, they have all featured here a fair few times so far this season. All four players should start and either one could get some nice points in this final Gameweek. Great bench fodder, great value, and great picks to upgrade your team elsewhere if you need to.

 

If you need any help or advice with your team transfers/selections, feel free to drop a comment below or get in touch with us via Twitter: @TheFPLWay

Have a great GW38 everyone! Hope you have all had a great season and we will be back in action from Gameweek 1 next season! We will be posting throughout the summer with Euro 2020 Fantasy and we will be straight back in the action when we can start building next seasons team in August!

How many players in our starting XI do you have in your team? Let us know in the comments below!

Who Are The Best FPL Players To Own For GW38?

Posted by: @FantasySilva

Here are our FPL Way Picks for the last Gameweek of the season. The deadline for GW38 is on Sunday 23rd May at 14:30.

Like we do every week, we build a team who we feel will make a solid team for the Gameweek with a 100 million budget. This weeks team comes out at 99.5 million. You may have more funds in the bank so there are possible upgrades you could potentially do here.

Before we get started, let’s have a look at the last fixtures of the season sorted by overall difficultly.

TeamGW38
BurnleySHU
FulhamNEW
LeedsWBA
Sheff UtdBUR
West HamSOU
LiverpoolCRY
NewcastleFUL
Man UtdWOL
ArsenalBHA
ChelseaAVL
West BromLEE
LeicesterTOT
Crystal PalaceLIV
Aston VillaCHE
BrightonARS
Man CityEVE
WolvesMUN
SouthamptonWHU
TottenhamLEI
EvertonMCI

 

THE FPL WAY XV – WHO ARE THE BEST FPL PLAYERS TO OWN FOR GW38?

We will be going through all the fixtures for our team selection and will provide you with the reason as to why we have selected them.

Fulham vs Newcastle

We have one player from this matchup which is Joseph Willock (4.8m). This guy is in great form at the moment, providing an attacking return in the last 6 Gameweeks where he got game time. In 3 of these games, he was subbed on very late in the game and still managed to get a goal. Game time doesn’t seem to be an issue now since he has been in the starting XI in the last 3 matches. With him accumulating 24 points in the last 3 games, we’re pretty confident he will add another attacking return to his tally in this favourable fixture.

Leeds vs West Brom

We have tripled up on Leeds assets here with Illan Meslier (4.8m), Stuart Dallas (5.4m) and Patrick Bamford (6.5m). Leeds have kept two clean sheets in their last 2 games and we certainly feel this will happen again in their final fixture. Dallas is especially a great pick as he plays a more attacking role, accumulating 8 goals and 3 assists so far this season. We feel there will be plenty of goals in this fixture, especially in Leeds favour. That being said, we just had to include Bamford in our starting XI. He got a goal and an assist in their 2-0 win against The Saints and we’re fairly confident he will add more to his tally on Sunday!

We have one pick for West Brom with Matheus Pereira (5.4m). If there is one man that will get an attacking return in this squad, it will be this Brazillian star. In the last 5 Gameweeks, he has scored 3 and assisted once. Pereira has scored a total of 11 goals and 7 assists so far this season, that being said, we just had to feature him in our starting XI.

Leicester vs Spurs

We have just the two players in this fixture for Spurs with Heung-Min Son (9.7m) and Harry Kane (11.9m). Did you know, Harry Kane has actually scored 14 goals in 10 Premier League appearances against Leicester, more than he has netted versus any other opponent in the competition. With both Kane and Salah joint top goal scorers with 22 goals, he will be fighting for goals to ensure he gets the Golden Boot this season. We all know Son and Kane make a great partnership, so we can expect to see some attacking returns from the pair in this fixture.

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace

Trent Alexander-Arnold (7.7m) and Mohamed Salah (12.8m) are our two picks for Liverpool. TAA has definitely had a better end to the season and is finally justifying his high price tag. Since Gameweek 28, TAA has scored a goal and provided 5 assists and has accumulated 70 points since then (that’s an average of ~7.8 points per game). In the reverse fixture, Liverpool surprised us all with their 7-0 win, can they repeat history? We sure hope so! As already mentioned, Salah is joint head-to-head with Kane in the battle for the golden boot. With a nice fixture for them, the fact he is the Egyptian hero and scored 2 goals in the reverse fixture; how could you not include this legend.

Sheffield Utd vs Burnley

The only pick for this fixture is Chris Wood (6.5m). With Burnley facing the relegated bottom of the league and getting some nice attacking returns late on in the season, this guy is a no-brainer really. With only 4.3% ownership and scoring 12 goals this season so far, we’re confident he will add to his tally in this fixture. Maybe this guy could be the crazy punt differential captain to gain that last-minute boost of rank you are needing? Massive cahonas would be required for this obviously…

West Ham vs Southampton

The only selection we have here is Vladimir Coufal (4.8m). Well, West Ham will be wanting to finish their season on an absolute high. A win would definitely secure a Europa League spot for The Hammers so they will definitely want to win this game. Hopefully, we will see a West Ham clean sheet and hopes for a Coufal attacking return in this fixture. An assist would be great, a goal would be the cherry on the cake.

 

Our Bench Picks

Will Norris (4.0m)

With Pope out with a shoulder injury, we could see Norris starting in the most favourable fixture of the Gameweek. A clean sheet here on paper and a very reasonable price tag; that’s why he’s our sub GK.

Phil Foden (6.1m)

Foden could make a great pick for this GW, but with Pep Roulette, well… you know, you can never be too confident on Man City assets. When he does feature, he kills it. This youngster is a star in the making, if he starts, we can definitely see some nice attacking returns here.

Victor Lindelöf (4.8m)

With Wolves not scoring in the last two Gameweeks, we can see this becoming a 3rd on the trot. Great bench fodder, a hopeful clean sheet… That brings this fella into our team.

Rob Holding (4.3m)

An awesome budget defender here, a possibility for a clean sheet, again… great bench fodder!

 

If you need any help or advice with your team transfers/selections, feel free to drop a comment below or get in touch with us via Twitter: @TheFPLWay