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Triple & Double Gameweek 35 Differentials!

Double & Triple Gameweek Differentials, done the right way.

Written by: Aiden Smith (FPLCasuals)

Today I will be exploring six differentials that have Double & Triple Gameweeks coming up or a favourable Single game week. I have also taken into account these player’s fixtures until the end of the season. With the announcement of the Triple Gameweek, you will see that I have also included a pick from Manchester United.

At the end of this article, I will also provide you with a differentials team consisting of 15 players that all have juicy fixtures while are also with a low ownership percentage. If you were in a position like me this will help you out as I’m currently ranked 400K and I am looking to gain rank quickly through some interesting selections.

The numbers that you’ll see presented below are all over the last four games.

Eberechi Eze: £5.8m – 0.9%

Fixtures: Sheffield United and Southampton

Firstly I’m not going to sit here and try and convince you that Eze has set the world alight this season, however, if we’re looking at fixtures over form then this pick makes total sense. Not only does Eze have a Double Gameweek, but he is also playing two of the worst defences in the league this season. In a Crystal Palace team that has struggled all season, Eze & Zaha have both looked the most dangerous going forward. Now let’s look at some of the numbers.

Last Four Gameweeks:

  • xG: 0.13 xA: 0.54
  • 0 Goals & 1 Assist
  • 6 Penalty area touches
  • 8 Corners taken
  • 3 Goal attempts (2 in the box)
  • 8 chances created (1 big chance)
  • 68 Touches in the final third

Crystal Palace has three nice games on the bounce after the Double Gameweek week they play Aston Villa at home. However, I have only included one Palace player because their fixtures change after Aston Villa. I have included Eze over a defender because Palace has conceded on average 1.7 goals per game and have scored on average 1 goal per game so the attacking numbers certainly outweigh the possibility of a clean sheet. Southampton has conceded 1.8 goals per game which are only better than West Bromwich Albion and Sheffield United (Sheffield United have also conceded 1.8 goals per game) so their defensive numbers would indicate there is an opportunity here for a return.

In conclusion, this is a huge differential however I do feel these fixtures are favourable and can see the likes of Eze performing well and potentially returning with the goal or an assist. The reason Zaha isn’t in this article is due to the fact he may be injured on not start in these games. In terms of talent, we’ve all seen what Eze can do and he has shown glimpses of brilliance on the ball, and his dribbling ability is there for everyone to see which may result in some bonus points as well as a potential attacking return.

Ademola Lookman: £4.8 – 1.4%

Fixture: Burnley

Now if I’m being honest I do really enjoy watching Fulham and I think they’ve really turned a corner since Christmas however, lately their form seems to have dropped at a vital part of the season. I like Scott Parker as a manager and I do hope to see him back In the Premier League soon if Fulham were to be relegated. Now for me, Lookman is Fulham’s brightest spark and this will be proven when we take a look at the underlying numbers.

Last Four Games:

  • xG: 0.32 xA: 0.51
  • 0 Goals & 1 Assist
  • 16 Penalty area touches
  • 104 Touches in the final third
  • 5 Goal attempts (59 mins per attempt)
  • 10 Chances created (1 Big)
  • 66% dribble success rate
  • 32 Crosses & 26 Corners

I think it’s clear to everyone that Lookman passes the eye test and from what I’ve seen I can’t imagine he’ll be playing in the Championship next season. I feel that he can add a lot to most teams in the Premier League. Lookman has scored four goals and contributed four assists all season and in a team without a significant striker, it is impressive to me, when you marry this up with Burnley’s poor recent form you do start to get a sense that there may be an attacking return in this game.

In conclusion, you’ll see that I have added more Fulham assets to the differentials team. The reason for this is due to their favourable fixtures towards the end of the season and the sheer determination I have noticed Scott Parker displays. In a recent post-match interview, he mentioned that he does genuinely feel they can get four wins from their last four games and it’s an attitude like this that I do like to see from the manager when picking the assets to have in my own team; you know he’s going to push his players to the limit. In my opinion, you could keep a Fulham player in your team until the end of the season.

Gylfi Sigurdsson: £6.9m – 3%

Fixtures: West Ham United and Aston Villa

Some of you will romanticise of seasons gone by when having Gylfi in your teams was essential. In his Swansea and Tottenham days, he was in a lot of teams for the majority of the season. Another weapon in Sigurdsson’s arsenal is that he is on set pieces and not only is he on them he is also somewhat of an expert. The reason he’s in this article is that he has found minutes within the Everton midfield. With Rodriguez not yet fully fit, I can see Gylfi playing at least 1 1/2 of these games. Now let’s look at some numbers.

Last Four Games:

  • xG: 1.40 xA: 0.26
  • 2 Goal & 0 Assists
  • 4 Starts
  • 11 Goal attempts
  • 10 Penalty area touches
  • 1 big chance (1 Scored)
  • 7 Goal Attempts (4 In the box)
  • 32 Successful passes in the final third (84% completion)
  • 4 Chances created

As you can see from the stats above he is not only a goal threat from set-pieces he is also a provider, creating one chance per game with a high pass completion rate in the final third. As per the FPL App, it says Rodriguez has a 75% chance of playing. When you compare this to the form of Gylfi, I can’t see any reason why he wouldn’t start both of these games. Rodriguez’s fitness has always been a minor problem throughout his career. Sigurdsson has scored six goals and contributed four assists in the Premier League this season.

In conclusion, over the last few game weeks, West Ham has been involved in some high-scoring, end-to-end games, and with Declan Rice still injured this could be a contributing factor for space within the midfield where Sigurdsson likes to operate. As for Aston Villa, they do have an impressive clean sheet record this season but their form of late has been questionable. They have conceded chances and goals recently, although on paper these fixtures do not look great for both West Ham and Aston Villa’s defences. As I mentioned before, not only have Everton got a Double Gameweek, their fixtures until the rest of the season are also attractive from an FPL standpoint.

Che Adams: £5.7m – 4.2%

Fixtures: Liverpool and Crystal Palace

Che Adams has been in and out of the team of late and it’s a little hard to understand why. Coming back off the International Break where he scored for Scotland, he has struggled to find minutes and form in the Southampton side. However, with Danny Ings injured I do feel he can find a run within the team.

Last Four Games:

  • xG: 0.75 xA: 0.08
  • 0 Goal & 0 Assists
  • 32 Touches in the final third
  • 6 Penalty area touches
  • 3 Goal Attempts
  • Big chances in the box
  • Chance Created

The main reason Adams is included in this article is due to the fact that Ings is injured. Having watched Adams all season (due to the fact I made a bet with my friend that he would score 15 goals this season), I have noticed he does a lot of running for the team. This, unfortunately, means he creates more space for others as opposed to himself and he does sometimes sacrifice returns to benefit the team, which isn’t good from an FPL aspect. Che Adams did find some form with back-to-back goals in a defeat to City & a defeat to Brighton which does indicate he is a streaky player.

To conclude, this guy is featured here due to the fact that I believe he will start both games. And as we saw at the start of the season when The Saints are on form they can bang goals and compete in matches. Again as mentioned at the start of the article, I wanted to include players with nice fixtures this week and for the rest of the season. After the DGW Southampton play Fulham & Leeds. So keeping Adams until the end of the season may not be a bad shout.

 

Sadio Mane: £11.7m – 5.2%

Fixtures: Southampton and Manchester United

Now I do fully understand that Mane has seriously been off the boil this season. That being said, Mane in my opinion is still one of the best left-wingers in football on his day. Not only that he plays for one of the best teams in the Premier League over the last few years. Mane is one of those players that can score two or three goals out of nowhere. You can look at it both ways, he has missed the chances but he’s also got himself in the right position to get some returns.

Last Four Games:

  • xG: 1.61 xA: 0.48
  • 1 Goal & 1 Assists
  • 92 Touches in the final third
  • 26 Penalty area touches
  • 11 Goal Attempts (11 In the box)
  • 36 Mins per attempt
  • 5 Big chances (1 scored 4 missed)
  • 5 Chances Created (2 Big chances created)

As per the app “FotMob” which is widely used with the football community Mane is actually Liverpool’s top-rated player with a rating of 7.31 across the whole season. Although he’s been off the boil this season he’s scored 8 goals & 5 assists in the Premier League this season. Liverpool has created the second most big chances this season (66) only behind Man City. As we know Southampton’s defensive numbers are pretty shocking. They have won one game in the last five and in that time last three on the bounce so I am expecting goals in this fixture.

In conclusion, we now have news that Liverpool will have a double Gameweek, this news came as I was writing this article so, in theory, this makes Mane a much more attractive asset moving forward. As mentioned before, Mane has very favourable fixtures until the end of the season after the Double Gameweek. He plays West Brom, Burnley & Crystal Palace. I do understand he has a high price value and you would have to sacrifice another “Premium”, however, this isn’t called a Differential Article for nothing!

Mason Greenwood: £7.1 – 6.3%

Fixtures: Aston Villa, Leicester & Liverpool

In his last four matches, Greenwood has been one of the most in-form players in the Premier League. Similar to last season he seems to have hit a run of form towards the end of the season and with the news breaking that Manchester United will have a Triple Gameweek I had to include a Manchester United player in this differentials article. Ole seems to really like Greenwood and he has seen a consistent run in the team in the last few weeks. He is also one of the best natural finishers in the league and probably the best natural finisher at the club.

Last Four Games:

  • xG: 1.82 xA: 0.62
  • 4 Goal & 1 Assists
  • 109 Touches in the final third
  • 26 Penalty area touches
  • 16 Goal Attempts (13 In the box)
  • 18 Mins per attempt on goal
  • 72 Mins per goal
  • 4 Big chances (2 Scored 2 missed)
  • 4 Chances created (2 Big chances created)

I have to admit I can’t believe these numbers when I was putting this article together. I knew that Greenwood had been in good form however these underlying numbers blew me away and has actually convinced me to transfer him in this Gameweek. Obviously, the decision was made easier with the announcement of the Triple Gameweek. With the underlying numbers like the ones above, I don’t really think I have to convince you much more.

In conclusion, I wish I was able to triple up with Manchester United players. I have two free transfers and I’ll definitely be using one of them for Greenwood. Keep in mind that United do have a blank Gameweek after the triple so it is good to get a balanced team.

The FPL Way Differentials Team:

This team comes to £91m, meaning that you do have some funds left in the bank. Please keep in mind that this team isn’t essentially how we would go ahead with the Gameweek,  it is more a bit of fun to point out some differential picks in certain positions. We wanted to continue the theme as we have provided you with an FPL Way XV Scout Picks and the value (budget) squad already this week.

I do really hope you enjoyed reading and digesting this article. Good luck in the upcoming Gameweek and hopefully if you decide to go with a pick included in this article that it provides you with a nice green arrow. If you do decide to transfer in one of these players let us know below which one and how it went.